Prediction for match Chapecoense — Santos, 29.01.2026

Match Analysis: Chapecoense vs Santos

In Brazil's Serie A on January 28, 2026, Chapecoense will face Santos. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Santos win is at 2.49, Chapecoense win at 3.06, and a draw at 3.19. The probability percentages are: Chapecoense - 31.37%, draw - 30.09%, Santos - 38.55%. Santos is the favorite based on these percentages, but the gap between the teams is not significant, as reflected in the odds. For total goals: over 2.5 goals is at 2.21, under 2.5 goals is at 1.70. Both teams to score: yes - 1.84, no - 1.86. Among the double chance options, 1X has the highest odds at 1.55.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chapecoense averaged 51.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Santos, over the same period, averaged 51.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In Chapecoense's last three games: November 23, 2025 - Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense 1-0, November 15, 2025 - Volta Redonda vs Chapecoense 1-1, November 10, 2025 - Chapecoense vs America Mineiro 0-1. Santos played as follows: January 25, 2026 - Santos vs RB Bragantino 0-0, January 22, 2026 - Santos vs Corinthians 1-1, January 18, 2026 - Guarani Campinas vs Santos 1-1. The last meeting between these teams was on October 17, 2024, ending with a 3-2 win for Chapecoense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, both teams have an average of 1.6 goals per match, with Chapecoense and Santos scoring 1 and conceding 0.6 per game. Over 2.5 goals hasn't occurred in any of Chapecoense's last 5 matches, and only once for Santos. Over 1.5 goals has happened once in the last 5 matches for both Chapecoense and Santos in the first and second halves, with the rest being under. Chapecoense most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (60%) and concedes towards the end (76th-90th minutes, 67%). Santos scores most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes in the 16-30 and 46-60 minute intervals (50% each). This indicates low scoring from both teams in recent matches, confirmed by the absence of over 2.5 goals for Chapecoense and minimal occurrences for Santos. Considering these data, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems the most logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Chapecoense averages 6.6 corners per match, while Santos averages 4.4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Chapecoense has 2 out of 5 matches over, Santos has 3 out of 5 over. There is a line for total corners at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.08, under 9.5 is at 1.71. Statistics suggest both teams can earn corners, especially Chapecoense, which could lead to an over on the total corners. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, although a moderate number of corners is also possible.