Prediction for match Charleroi — Genk

Match Analysis: Charleroi vs Genk

In the Jupiler Pro League, Charleroi will face Genk on May 2nd. The odds for a Genk victory are 2.42, for a Charleroi win - 2.85, and a draw is priced at 3.54. In terms of probability percentages, which reflect the balance of power: Charleroi - 33.53%, draw - 26.99%, Genk - 39.48%. This setup makes Genk a moderate favorite, but the gap is not critical, and both teams have chances for success. The options for totals and both teams to score also look quite close, promising an exciting attacking battle from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Charleroi played as follows: 25.04.2026 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 0-2, 21.04.2026 Genk - Charleroi 1-1, 18.04.2026 Charleroi - Standard Liège 1-2. Genk in their last three encounters: 25.04.2026 Genk - Standard Liège 1-1, 21.04.2026 Genk - Charleroi 1-1, 18.04.2026 Westerlo - Genk 1-2. The last head-to-head clash between these teams happened on 21.04.2026 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Over the last five matches, Charleroi averages 46.6% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Genk shows 51.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match. These figures indicate that both teams are quite active and do not concede in secondary components.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring over the last 5 matches, both teams had 2 overs on total over 2.5 and 3 unders. Charleroi's average total goals is 2.4, while Genk's is 2.0. Both teams score evenly - 1.2 goals per game, but Genk has a slightly better defense: 0.8 conceded compared to Charleroi's 1.2. In terms of halves, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5 in the second half, and only 1 out of 5 in the first half. This points to a tendency for a more productive finish. In terms of goal intervals: Charleroi most often scores between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Genk scores mostly in the 76-90 minute interval (60%). Charleroi concedes most often in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute segments (33% each), with Genk being most vulnerable between 61-75 minutes (33%). Overall, both teams consistently score and concede, especially in the second half, making a bet on "both teams to score" logical, as the attacking potential of both sides is confirmed by average goals, the frequency of scoring halves, and the distribution of goals by minutes.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In terms of average corners over the last 5 matches: Charleroi delivers 3.8, Genk - 6.6. The frequency of total over 9.5 corners was 4 out of 5 for Charleroi, and 3 out of 5 for Genk. The line offers a total corners of 10.5: over 10.5 is priced at 2.00, under 10.5 at 1.80 (example, if such odds were available). Genk often wins on corners, confirmed by their high average. It makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 9.5 or Genk's individual corner total over the average, given their attacking activity and number of flank deliveries.