Prediction for match St. Truiden — Union Saint-Gilloise

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On May 2, in the Jupiler Pro League, St. Truiden will face Union Saint-Gilloise. The odds for Union Saint-Gilloise to win are set at 2.04, a draw at 3.46, and a victory for St. Truiden at 3.74. According to probability estimates, Union Saint-Gilloise has a 46.84% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.62%, and St. Truiden at 25.55%. You can bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95, and the both teams to score option is at 1.74. The both teams to score: no option is at 1.98, which also deserves attention when analyzing the teams' scoring capabilities. For individual totals, St. Truiden over 1 goal is at 1.90, Union Saint-Gilloise over 1 goal is at 1.36, and over 1.5 is at 2.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, St. Truiden recorded the following results: April 26, 2026 - Mechelen vs St. Truiden - 1-4, April 23, 2026 - St. Truiden vs Anderlecht - 2-0, April 19, 2026 - Gent vs St. Truiden - 0-0. Union Saint-Gilloise played as follows: April 26, 2026 - Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise - 1-3, April 22, 2026 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent - 0-0, April 19, 2026 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge - 2-1. In their last head-to-head on April 4, 2026, Union Saint-Gilloise defeated St. Truiden 1-0. Over a five-match span, St. Truiden had an average possession of 52%, committed 10 fouls, received 1 yellow card, and recorded 0.8 offsides. Union Saint-Gilloise had 48.8% possession, 11.2 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 1.2 offsides. These figures reflect a moderately tough style of play from both teams and their activity in contesting the ball.

How Many Goals Will Be in the St. Truiden vs Union Saint-Gilloise Match

In the last five matches, both teams have seen the total over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. St. Truiden averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Union Saint-Gilloise also scores 1.4 but concedes only 0.4. The total number of goals in St. Truiden matches is 2.2, Union Saint-Gilloise - 1.8. In the first half, the over 1.5 total was seen once in five matches for St. Truiden and twice for Union Saint-Gilloise. In the second half, St. Truiden played over 1.5 goals three times, Union Saint-Gilloise - none. In terms of goal timing, St. Truiden most often scores between the 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes (40% each), and concedes in the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Union Saint-Gilloise most frequently scores in the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), and concedes in the 16th-30th (40%). Considering the average scoring, balance of total overs, and stable attacking performances of both teams, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems justified. This is also supported by the even distribution of goals across halves and the absence of a pronounced low-scoring profile.

Corner Bets

Over a five-match span, St. Truiden averages 6 corners per game, Union Saint-Gilloise - 6.2. In the last five matches, St. Truiden always exceeded the total corners over 9.5, while Union Saint-Gilloise did so three times out of five. The odds for total corners over 9.5 are 2.02, under 9.5 - 1.75. Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 2.00. In this match, at least 10 corners are expected, considering both teams' attacking activity and their frequency of hitting high corner totals. You might also consider betting on St. Truiden's individual corner total over 5.5, if available, as the team consistently delivers at least 6 corners per game.