Prediction for match Charleroi — Union Saint-Gilloise

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Belgian Cup on February 4, 2026, Charleroi will face Union Saint-Gilloise. According to the 1X2 odds, Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite with odds of 2.04, a draw is priced at 3.26, and Charleroi's victory is at 3.70. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Charleroi - 25.32%, draw - 28.74%, Union Saint-Gilloise - 45.93%. These figures indicate an advantage for Union Saint-Gilloise according to bookmakers' expectations, however, the gap between the teams is not overwhelming, and the likelihood of a draw is also quite high.

Team Results and Statistics

Charleroi, over their last five matches, have an average possession of 45%, with an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 38% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In Charleroi's last three matches: January 31 - Sint-Truiden vs Charleroi - 0-2, January 25 - Royal Antwerp vs Charleroi - 0-2, January 18 - Charleroi vs Standard Liège - 2-0. Union Saint-Gilloise played as follows: February 1 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge - 1-0, January 28 - Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta - 1-0, January 24 - Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise - 0-0. Their last head-to-head meeting was on December 14, 2025: Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise - 1-1.

How Many Goals in the Match Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise

In the last five matches, Charleroi has an average of 2.6 goals per game, scoring 2 goals and conceding 0.6. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 1 goal per match, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.4. For over 2.5 goals, Charleroi has 2 out of 5 matches over, while Union Saint-Gilloise has 0 out of 5 over, and 5 out of 5 under. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Charleroi has 3 out of 5 over, and Union Saint-Gilloise has 0 out of 5 over. In the second half, Charleroi has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Union Saint-Gilloise has 1 out of 5 over. Charleroi most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute - 40%, and concedes between the 0 and 15th minute - 50%. Union Saint-Gilloise most often scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 46-60 minutes - 33% each. In this situation, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified: Union Saint-Gilloise has a very low scoring rate, Charleroi's figures are higher, but the opponent is solid in defense and concedes little. The under 2.5 goals is at 1.66.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Charleroi averages 6 corners per match, while Union Saint-Gilloise averages 4.4. In the last 5 games, Charleroi has 4 out of 5 matches over 9.5 total corners, and Union Saint-Gilloise has 2 out of 5 over 9.5. The line for total corners is closest to the sum of average figures at 10.5, but among the options presented, there is a pair for total 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.68, under 9.5 - 2.10. A clear victory on corners is not apparent, but Charleroi's average activity makes them look preferable. It's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners, considering Charleroi's frequency of exceeding this line and the overall dynamics in recent matches.