Prediction for match Chelsea — Tottenham

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Premier League on May 19, 2026, Chelsea will face Tottenham. According to the 1X2 odds, Chelsea's win is priced at 2.04, a draw at 3.93, and Tottenham's victory at 3.70. In terms of probability percentages, Chelsea has a 48.30% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.07%, and Tottenham is at 26.63%. These figures suggest Chelsea is the favorite, but the gap is not too wide, indicating a potentially tense encounter. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.65, and for both teams to score: yes is 1.50, no is 2.45, suggesting an expectation of goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Chelsea lost to Manchester City 0-1, drew with Liverpool 1-1, and lost to Nottingham Forest 1-3. Tottenham, in their last three games, drew with Leeds 1-1, defeated Aston Villa 2-1, and won against Wolverhampton 1-0. Looking at the averages over five matches, Chelsea has 52.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Tottenham has 52.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Tottenham lost to Chelsea 0-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. The average number of goals in Chelsea's matches is 2.2, the same for Tottenham. Chelsea scores an average of 0.6 goals per game, while Tottenham scores 1.2, with Chelsea conceding 1.6 and Tottenham 1. By halves, both teams have had over 1.5 goals in the first and second halves in 2 out of 5 matches. In terms of scoring intervals, Chelsea most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (29%) and 76-90 minutes (29%), while Tottenham scores most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 40%). Chelsea concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (40%), Tottenham in the last 15 minutes (33%). Overall, neither team shows a strong over-profile, with average goal numbers and frequency closer to unders. Considering Chelsea's low scoring and Tottenham's moderate scoring, betting on under 2.5 goals seems reasonable.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Chelsea wins 5.2 corners per match, Tottenham 7.2, totaling 12.4. In the last five matches, both teams have surpassed the over 9.5 corners line three times. The over/under total closest to their combined average is 11.5, with odds of 2.44 for over 11.5 and 1.49 for under. Chelsea is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.60. Statistics show both teams are active in winning corners, making a bet on over 11.5 corners justified for this match.