Prediction for match Chengdu Rongcheng — Yunnan Yukun

Match Analysis: Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun

In the Chinese Super League on April 21, Chengdu Rongcheng will face Yunnan Yukun. According to the 1X2 odds, Chengdu Rongcheng is the clear favorite with odds of 1.44 for a win, while a draw is at 5.00 and Yunnan Yukun's victory is valued at 6.50. In terms of percentage probabilities, Chengdu Rongcheng has a 66.25% chance of winning, a draw is at 19.08%, and Yunnan Yukun has a 14.68% chance. The favorite is obvious, but both teams' attacking potential deserves attention given their recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chengdu Rongcheng has defeated Wuhan Three Towns (1-0), Beijing Guoan (2-1), and Qingdao West Coast (5-1), drawn with Chongqing Tongliang Long (3-3), and beaten Qingdao Zhongnen (1-0). In the same period, Yunnan Yukun won against Sichuan Jiuniu (4-3) and Shandong Taishan (4-0), but lost to Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (0-3), Shanghai Port (1-2), and Henan Jianye (1-2). In their last head-to-head on August 23, 2025, Yunnan Yukun lost to Chengdu Rongcheng 1-5. Over the last five games, Chengdu Rongcheng averaged 49.8% possession, committed 13.8 fouls, was caught offside 1.6 times, and received 2 yellow cards. Yunnan Yukun showed 51.2% possession, 11.2 fouls, 2.6 offsides, and 2.6 yellow cards in the same period.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Chengdu Rongcheng has an average total of 3.4 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1. Yunnan Yukun has an even higher average of 4 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Chengdu Rongcheng has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Yunnan Yukun in 5 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have seen over 1.5 goals twice, while in the second half, Chengdu Rongcheng has done so 3 times, and Yunnan Yukun 4 times. Chengdu Rongcheng most frequently scores and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (60% and 57% respectively), while Yunnan Yukun scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (36%) and concedes evenly across four different intervals at 22% each. Given the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent occurrences of over 2.5 goals, and consistent scoring patterns, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.49 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

Chengdu Rongcheng averages 6.4 corners per game, while Yunnan Yukun averages 5. Chengdu Rongcheng has seen over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Yunnan Yukun in 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average (11.4) is 11 corners: over 11 corners at 2.32, under 11 at 1.52. Chengdu Rongcheng is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.23. Considering both teams' wing activity and high averages, a bet on over 11 corners seems justified for this match.