Prediction for match Sichuan Jiuniu — Beijing Guoan

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Chinese Super League on 21.04.2026, Sichuan Jiuniu will face Beijing Guoan. The odds for a Beijing Guoan victory are 2.03, for Sichuan Jiuniu - 3.42, and a draw is at 3.81. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Sichuan Jiuniu - 27.91%, draw - 25.06%, Beijing Guoan - 47.03%. These figures highlight Beijing Guoan as the favorite, with a nearly 20% probability gap between the teams. Among additional markets, the odds for both teams to score: yes is 1.50, no is 2.42. For goal totals, the odds for over 2.5 goals is 1.61, and under 2.5 is 2.35. The option for total over 2.75 is at 1.68, and total under 3.25 is at 1.59. All these indicators suggest moderate scoring, with a lean towards both teams scoring. Individual total options: Sichuan Jiuniu over 1 goal - 1.59, Beijing Guoan over 1.5 goals - 1.77. The bet on both teams to score: yes at odds of 1.50 appears to be the most optimal choice for the main prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sichuan Jiuniu played as follows: 17.04.2026 Chongqing Tongliang Long - Sichuan Jiuniu 2-0, 12.04.2026 Sichuan Jiuniu - Yunnan Yukun 3-4, 05.04.2026 Sichuan Jiuniu - Wuhan Three Towns 5-2. Beijing Guoan's last three results: 17.04.2026 Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan 0-0, 12.04.2026 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 1-2, 04.04.2026 Shenyang Urban - Beijing Guoan 2-1. In a five-match series, Sichuan Jiuniu's average ball possession is 47.8%, while Beijing Guoan's is 55.8%. Yellow cards: Sichuan Jiuniu 2.4, Beijing Guoan 1.8. Fouls: 12.4 against 12.8, offsides: Sichuan Jiuniu 1.4, Beijing Guoan 2.6. In the last head-to-head meeting on 18.10.2025, Sichuan Jiuniu won against Beijing Guoan 2-1. Overall, in secondary statistics, the teams do not differ significantly in terms of fouls and cards, but Beijing Guoan noticeably controls the ball more and is more often caught offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Sichuan Jiuniu's average total goals per match is 3.6, while Beijing Guoan's is 2.2. Sichuan Jiuniu scores 1.8 and concedes 1.8, Beijing Guoan scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4. For over 2.5 total goals: Sichuan Jiuniu 2 out of 5, Beijing Guoan 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 total goals occurred for Sichuan Jiuniu 2 times, for Beijing Guoan 1 time. In the second half, Sichuan Jiuniu had 3 out of 5 on over 1.5, Beijing Guoan 2 out of 5. For goal intervals: Sichuan Jiuniu most often scores between 76-90 minutes (42%), and concedes between 16-30 and 76-90 (33% each). Beijing Guoan most often scores from 16 to 30 minutes (33%), and concedes from 76 to 90 minutes (60%). These figures confirm that both teams are inclined to score in the second half, and Sichuan Jiuniu is highly productive both in attack and defense. Beijing Guoan scores less, but in terms of over 2.5 total goals, they do not lag behind the opponent. Considering the average scoring of both sides and frequent over total goals, the bet on both teams to score: yes at odds of 1.50 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over the last 5 games, Sichuan Jiuniu takes 4.4 corners, Beijing Guoan - 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Sichuan Jiuniu 2 out of 5, Beijing Guoan 3 out of 5. If we add up the average figures, it amounts to 9 corners for both. The nearest total with a pair of odds is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 is at 1.87, under 9.5 - 1.83. For corners outcome, Beijing Guoan is the favorite with odds of 1.65. Considering the average activity of both teams on corners and close figures, the bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, but the option with 9-10 corners is not excluded. Also, consider Beijing Guoan's victory on corners, given their slightly higher average over 5 matches.