Prediction for match Coritiba — RB Bragantino, 28.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Brazilian Serie A on January 28, Coritiba will face RB Bragantino. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Coritiba is priced at 2.30, a draw at 3.10, and a win for RB Bragantino at 3.52. The probabilities are: Coritiba - 41.75%, draw - 30.97%, RB Bragantino - 27.28%. Based on these figures, Coritiba holds a moderate advantage, but the match doesn't seem straightforward in terms of chances. Interestingly, the difference between the win probabilities for Coritiba and RB Bragantino is over 14 points, indicating a certain tilt towards the hosts, although the draw is also rated quite high.

Team Statistics and Match Analysis

In their last three matches, Coritiba has shown the following results: on 23.11.2025 Amazonas - Coritiba 1-2, on 15.11.2025 Coritiba - Athletic 0-0, on 09.11.2025 Paysandu - Coritiba 1-2. RB Bragantino's results were: on 25.01.2026 Santos - RB Bragantino 0-0, on 21.01.2026 Mirassol - RB Bragantino 0-0, on 18.01.2026 RB Bragantino - Botafogo SP 5-0. On average over the last five matches, Coritiba had 45.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 0.2 offsides per game. RB Bragantino had higher possession at 48.8%, the same number of yellow cards - 2.8, slightly fewer fouls - 11.2, and significantly more offsides - 1.4. In their head-to-head on 03.12.2023, RB Bragantino defeated Coritiba 1-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

Coritiba has an average scoring rate of 1.4 goals per match over the last five games, scoring 1 and conceding 0.4. RB Bragantino's figures are higher: 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.6. As for over 2.5 goals: Coritiba had 2 out of 5, RB Bragantino - 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the last five matches, Coritiba achieved this 2 times in the first half and never in the second. RB Bragantino had no occurrences in the first half but 3 out of 5 in the second half. Coritiba most frequently scores between 46-75 minutes (50% in each interval) and concedes mainly at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 80%). RB Bragantino most frequently scores at the end of the game (76-90 minutes - 45%) and also concedes in this period (76-90 minutes - 100%). Overall, both teams tend to be more active in the second half, especially RB Bragantino. In this scenario, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.63 seems logical - both teams have support for average goals, and RB Bragantino has a pronounced over-profile in the second halves.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Coritiba averaged 3.6 corners over the last five matches, RB Bragantino - 5.2. For corners over 9.5, both teams had 2 occurrences out of 5 games. In terms of odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.66. The combined average for both teams is 8.8, which is close to the chosen line. In this situation, a bet on corners closer to 9.5 seems justified, but based on the frequency and average values, one can expect 8-10 corners per match. Based on the statistics, both teams are capable of creating chances, but an overly high-scoring corner match should not be expected.