Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Tijuana

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

Liga MX offers an intriguing matchup: Cruz Azul faces Tijuana on 18.04.2026. According to the odds, Cruz Azul is the favorite with a win priced at 1.39, a draw at 4.85, and a Tijuana victory at 6.77. Based on statistical probability, the chances are: Cruz Azul - 67.03%, draw - 19.21%, Tijuana - 13.76%. The over/under line highlights a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.54, which could be an interesting choice considering both teams' attacking potential and their recent goal-scoring stats.

Team Results and Stats

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul has averaged 62.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Tijuana, over the same period, has shown 46.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. Cruz Azul's recent matches: 15.04.2026 - Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles FC - 1-1, 12.04.2026 - Club America vs Cruz Azul - 1-1, 08.04.2026 - Los Angeles FC vs Cruz Azul - 3-0. Tijuana's recent games: 11.04.2026 - Juarez vs Tijuana - 1-2, 04.04.2026 - Tijuana vs Tigres UANL - 1-0, 21.03.2026 - Necaxa vs Tijuana - 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 29.09.2025, Tijuana defeated Cruz Azul 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Cruz Azul has exceeded 2.5 goals twice and stayed under three times. Tijuana has seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches, with only one under. For Cruz Azul, three out of five games had over 1.5 goals in the first half, with one game seeing over 1.5 in the second half. For Tijuana, only one game had over 1.5 in the first half, but three in the second. Cruz Azul averages 2.4 goals per match, while Tijuana averages 2.6. Cruz Azul scores most frequently between 16-30 minutes (43%) and concedes in the final minutes (76-90, 40%). Tijuana scores most often between 61-75 minutes (33%) and concedes between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Considering Tijuana's frequent over 2.5 and both teams' average scoring, betting on over 2.75 goals seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Cruz Azul averages 7.8 corners per match, Tijuana - 3.4. In the last five games, Cruz Azul exceeded 9.5 corners four times, Tijuana twice. The line highlights a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.84, as is under 9.5. Cruz Azul is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.10. Considering Cruz Azul's high corner activity, betting on over 9.5 corners and their dominance in this aspect seems reasonable.