Prediction for match Deportivo La Coruna — Mallorca

Match Analysis: Deportivo La Coruna vs Mallorca

Deportivo La Coruna and Mallorca face off in the Copa del Rey on December 16. The main odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Deportivo La Coruna is priced at 2.45, a draw at 3.00, and a win for Mallorca at 2.62. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 36.34% for Deportivo La Coruna's victory, 29.68% for a draw, and 33.98% for Mallorca's win. The odds and percentages suggest a fairly even match, with no clear favorite, creating intrigue about the final outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Deportivo La Coruna lost 0-3 to Real Sociedad II, were defeated 1-3 by Castellon, and won 2-0 against Albacete. Prior to that, they secured victories over AD Ceuta (2-1) and Cordoba (3-1). During the same period, Mallorca played 3-1 against Elche, 0-0 with Real Oviedo, and 3-2 with Numancia, as well as a 2-2 draw with Osasuna and a 1-2 loss to Villarreal. On average, Deportivo La Coruna has 51.2% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Mallorca averages 45% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on May 27, 2019, Deportivo La Coruna won 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have shown a penchant for scoring: Deportivo La Coruna averages 3.2 total goals per match, with 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded, and Mallorca similarly averages 3.2, with 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, indicating a consistent tendency for high-scoring games. In terms of halves, Deportivo La Coruna has not seen more than 1.5 goals in the first half in any of their last five matches, but more than 1.5 goals were recorded in the second half in 4 of 5 cases. Mallorca saw over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times out of 5, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Deportivo La Coruna most often scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (50% each) and concedes late (76th-90th minutes, 58%). Mallorca scores 33% of their goals between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes, and concedes evenly at the start (0-15 and 16-30 minutes, 29% each) and at the end (76th-90th minutes, 29%). This profile supports a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.25, considering the consistent over outcomes and high average scoring rates.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, Deportivo La Coruna has an average of 4.6 over 5 matches, while Mallorca averages 2.6. In the last 5 encounters, both teams have seen the total corners exceed 9.5 in 3 out of 5 matches. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the combined average (4.6 + 2.6 = 7.2) is 9.5, with both options having occurred. The odds for total corners over 9.5 and under 9.5 are set at: over 9.5 - 2.25, under 9.5 - 1.57. Given the average corner activity of both teams and the frequency of overs, betting on over 9.5 corners appears risky, while under 9.5 is more conservative. Overall, both teams can create a fair number of set-pieces, but a stable over profile for corners is not evident.