Prediction for match Dunkerque — Pau

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Pau is scheduled for January 16, 2026. According to the odds, Dunkerque is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.83, a draw at 3.64, and a victory for Pau at 4.08. The probabilities for 1X2 are distributed as follows: Dunkerque 51.25%, draw 25.77%, Pau 22.99%. This setup reflects Dunkerque's advantage, but Pau is not without a chance. Over/Under options: over 2.5 goals is at 1.79, both teams to score - 1.68, under 2.5 - 1.99. Individual totals: Dunkerque over 1.5 goals at 1.83, Pau over 1 goal at 2.04. Double chance options: 1X - 1.21, X2 - 1.93, 12 - 1.26. Thus, bookmakers expect a high-scoring match with Dunkerque having the edge, but Pau can put up a fight.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Dunkerque averages 53.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Pau also holds 53.8% possession but receives 3.8 yellow cards, commits 15.6 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per match. In the last three games, Dunkerque beat Montpellier 3-1 (05.01.2026), lost to Strasbourg 1-2 (21.12.2025), and defeated Laval 2-1 (12.12.2025). Pau drew 3-3 with Rodez (03.01.2026), lost 1-2 to Amiens (12.12.2025), and beat Montpellier 1-0 (06.12.2025). In their head-to-head on October 24, 2025, Dunkerque thrashed Pau 3-0. These results show both teams can deliver exciting and high-scoring matches, with Dunkerque looking more confident in direct encounters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the five-match series, Dunkerque's average total goals are 2.6, while Pau's is 3.4. Both teams score 1.6 goals per game, with Dunkerque conceding 1 and Pau 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Dunkerque has 3 out of 5, Pau 4 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Dunkerque - 2 out of 5, Pau - 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 in the second half: Dunkerque - 1 out of 5, Pau - 2 out of 5. Dunkerque scores most frequently between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), while Pau scores in the first 15 and between 46-60 minutes (38% each). Dunkerque concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (43%), Pau between 16-30 minutes (40%). This statistics suggest both teams score and concede regularly, and their matches are often high-scoring. The overall goal profile supports a bet on both teams to score.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Average corners over 5 matches: Dunkerque delivers 5, Pau 6. For over 9.5 corners: Dunkerque has 1 out of 5, Pau 3 out of 5. The nearest total for corners with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.86. For a win on corners, Dunkerque is the favorite at 1.77. Overall, both teams deliver a decent number of corners, with Pau more frequently hitting the higher totals. Considering the attacking activity of both teams and their average corner stats, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical.