Prediction for match Eibar — AD Ceuta FC

Match Analysis: Eibar vs AD Ceuta FC

On April 5, Eibar will face AD Ceuta FC in the Spanish Segunda. Bookmakers have Eibar as favorites with odds of 1.76 for a win, 3.64 for a draw, and 5.04 for an AD Ceuta FC victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Eibar - 54.56%, draw - 26.38%, AD Ceuta FC - 19.05%. While Eibar appears to have the upper hand, the gap isn't insurmountable. For totals, over 2.0 goals is priced at 1.52, over 2.25 goals at 1.77, both teams to score: yes - 1.93, no - 1.78. Individual team totals are Eibar over 1.5 goals at 1.92, AD Ceuta FC over 0.5 goals at 1.61. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.18, X2 at 2.09, and 12 at 1.29. There are plenty of betting options available, but the focus is on goal-scoring potential.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Eibar has shown average stats: 41.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. AD Ceuta FC has higher possession at 50.8%, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and also 0.6 offsides. Eibar's recent results include a 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad II (02.04.2026), a 3-1 win against Las Palmas (29.03.2026), and a 1-0 triumph over FC Andorra (21.03.2026). AD Ceuta FC drew 1-1 with Burgos (01.04.2026), defeated Cadiz 2-1 (28.03.2026), and lost to Leganes 2-5 (21.03.2026). Their last head-to-head meeting was on October 3, 2025, where AD Ceuta FC won 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Eibar's last five matches have an average total of 1.4 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding just 0.2. AD Ceuta FC's matches have a significantly higher average of 3.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.6. Eibar has seen over 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 5 matches, while AD Ceuta FC has hit this mark in 4 out of 5. In terms of halves, Eibar has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half once, and none in the second half. AD Ceuta FC has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and also 3 times in the second half. Eibar most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%). AD Ceuta FC often scores between the 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 76th-90th minutes (23% each) and concedes late in the game (76th-90th, 50%). Despite Eibar's low-scoring matches, AD Ceuta FC's high concession rate and frequent over 2.5 goal matches make a strong case for over 2.0 goals at 1.52. This is further supported by both teams averaging 1.2 goals scored, with AD Ceuta FC conceding many.

Corners in the Match

On average, Eibar earns 3.4 corners per match, while AD Ceuta FC earns 3.2. In the last 5 games, Eibar has seen over 9.5 corners 3 times, and AD Ceuta FC 2 times. When considering total corners, the line closest to their combined average (6.6) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.35, under 7.5 at 2.95. In terms of corners outcome, Eibar is favored with odds of 1.47. Overall, both teams do not excel in corner counts, but Eibar is slightly more consistent with over 9.5 corners. It's logical to consider cautious bets on total corners around 7.5-9.5, as well as Eibar's advantage in this aspect.