Prediction for match Eibar — Elche

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Copa del Rey on December 16, Eibar will face Elche. According to the 1X2 odds, Elche's victory is priced at 2.07, a draw at 3.10, and Eibar's win at 3.38. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Eibar - 26.86%, Draw - 29.28%, Elche - 43.86%. The odds for under 2.5 goals are set at 1.57, while over 2.5 goals are at 2.25. Both teams to score: Yes - 1.95, No - 1.77. Thus, bookmakers see Elche as the favorite but do not rule out a tight contest with a low number of goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Eibar played as follows: December 13 - Cordoba vs Eibar - 0-0, December 7 - Eibar vs Cultural Leonesa - 1-2, November 30 - Racing Santander vs Eibar - 4-0. During the same period, Elche's results were: December 13 - Mallorca vs Elche - 3-1, December 7 - Elche vs Girona - 3-0, November 28 - Getafe vs Elche - 1-0. In the last five matches, Eibar averages 47.8% possession, 3.8 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Elche averages 58.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 24, 2025, Elche defeated Eibar 2-0.

Total Goals Statistics

In Eibar's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and under 2.5 goals occurred 2 times. Elche had a similar record: 3 overs and 2 unders on 2.5 goals. In the first halves, Eibar had 3 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Elche had only 1 out of 5. In the second halves, Eibar had 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Elche had 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Eibar's matches over five games is 2.4, and for Elche, it's 2.8. Eibar scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 1.8, while Elche scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. Eibar most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (38%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%). Elche's most productive phase is between the 46th and 60th minutes (50% of goals), and they concede most often from the 76th to 90th minutes (75%). Considering both teams' average scoring, the frequency of over 2.5 goals, and Elche's second-half activity, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.57 seems the most logical: Eibar has a weak attack, and Elche is not always consistent up front, while Eibar's defense regularly concedes but doesn't allow high totals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Eibar wins 4.6 corners per game, and Elche 2.2. In Eibar's last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred twice, and for Elche, once. Together, the teams average 6.8 corners per match. The line is set at a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 at odds of 2.20, under 9.5 at 1.62. Considering the averages and frequency of outcomes, it's more logical to consider a bet on under 9.5 corners. Eibar takes more corners, but the overall trend in recent matches doesn't support a high total.