Prediction for match Elche — Villarreal, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcomes

In La Liga on January 3, 2026, Elche will face Villarreal. According to the 1X2 odds, Villarreal is the favorite with odds of 2.25 and a probability of 43.80%. Elche is given odds of 3.40, corresponding to 28.98%, while a draw is valued at 3.62 (27.22%). This setup reflects Villarreal's advantage in terms of winning probability, but the gap between the teams is not too large, which could add intrigue to the upcoming match. Other main outcomes have higher odds, so the most interesting bet is on Villarreal's victory.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Elche achieved the following results: on 21.12.2025 Elche - Rayo Vallecano 4-0, on 16.12.2025 Eibar - Elche 0-1, on 13.12.2025 Mallorca - Elche 3-1. Villarreal's last three games were: on 21.12.2025 Villarreal - Barcelona 0-2, on 17.12.2025 Racing Santander - Villarreal 2-1, on 10.12.2025 Villarreal - Copenhagen 2-3. In their head-to-head clash on February 4, 2023, Elche defeated Villarreal 3-1. Over a five-match series, Elche averaged 55.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Villarreal showed 55% possession, 2.4 yellows, 13.4 fouls, and 4.4 offsides on average per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Elche played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice, while Villarreal had over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. The average number of goals in Elche's matches during this period is 2.6, and for Villarreal, it's 2.8. Elche scored an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceded 0.8, while Villarreal scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6. In terms of halves, Elche had over 1.5 goals in the second half three times out of five, and only once in the first half. Villarreal had over 1.5 goals in the second half only once out of five, and once in the first half. Elche most frequently scores in the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), while Villarreal scores most often in the 46-60 minute interval (33%). As for goals conceded, Elche most often concedes in the 16-30 minute interval (100%), and Villarreal in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Given both teams' average scoring rates, the over 2.5 goals in matches, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.84 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Elche averages 3 corners per match, while Villarreal averages 9. In the last five games, Elche didn't surpass the 9.5 corner total, while Villarreal did so 4 times out of 5. Among the proposed corner totals, the closest to the average sum (12) is the 11.5 line, but only for the 9.5 total are both outcomes available: over 9.5 at 2.15 and under 9.5 at 1.59. For corner outcomes, Villarreal is favored with odds of 2.09. Considering Villarreal's high corner activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, and a consideration for Villarreal's victory on corners could be made.