Prediction for match Empoli — Avellino

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On May 1st in Serie B, Empoli will face Avellino. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: an Empoli win is at 2.21, a draw is priced at 3.24, and an Avellino victory is at 3.34. The probability percentages for the 1X2 outcomes are: Empoli - 42.67%, draw - 29.10%, Avellino - 28.23%. Based on these figures, Empoli has the highest chance of winning, but the gap with Avellino is not too large. For the totals, over 2.5 goals is at 2.04, and under 2.5 is at 1.75. Both teams to score (BTTS): Yes is at 1.79, No is at 1.92. For individual team totals, Empoli to score over 1 goal is at 1.52, and Avellino to score over 1 is at 1.96.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Empoli has secured 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last three games were: April 25, 2026 - Venezia vs Empoli - 2-0, April 19, 2026 - Empoli vs Virtus Entella - 1-1, April 12, 2026 - Padova vs Empoli - 1-0. Over the same period, Avellino has achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last three games were: April 24, 2026 - Avellino vs Bari - 2-0, April 18, 2026 - Mantova vs Avellino - 0-2, April 11, 2026 - Avellino vs Catanzaro - 1-1. In their head-to-head on November 22, 2025, Avellino vs Empoli ended 0-3 in favor of Empoli. Secondary statistics show that Empoli averaged 50.2% possession, committed 17.2 fouls, received 1.6 yellow cards, and registered 2 offsides over 5 games. Avellino had 47.4% possession, 16 fouls, 2.4 yellows, and 2.2 offsides per match.

Goals by Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Empoli's average total goals were 2.4, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. Avellino's average total was 2.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals, both teams had only 1 of 5 matches go over, with the other four under 2.5. By halves, Empoli had only 1 of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, while Avellino had none. In the second half, Empoli had 2 of 5 over 1.5, and Avellino had 4 of 5. Empoli most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 76-90 minute marks (33% each), while Avellino scores most often in the final minutes (76-90, 63%). For goals conceded, Empoli often lets in goals in the first 15 minutes (33%), late in the first half (31-45, 33%), and right after the break (46-60, 33%). Avellino concedes most frequently in the 76-90 minute interval (50%). Given the low scoring in recent matches, the prevalence of under 2.5 totals, and cautious first-half play, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.75 appears optimal.

Corner Bets

Empoli averages 5.2 corners per match, while Avellino averages 3.6. In their last five matches, Empoli has seen the total corners go over 9.5 four times, while Avellino has seen it three times. For the line on total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.00, under 9.5 is at 1.75. Empoli is favored in corner outcome with odds of 2.02. With these figures, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners, considering the frequent occurrence of this total in recent matches for both teams. Also, note Empoli's individual total corners, which is consistently above the league average.