Prediction for match Modena — Reggiana

Match Analysis: Modena vs Reggiana

In Italy's Serie B on May 1st, Modena will face Reggiana. The odds for a Modena win are 1.69, a draw is at 3.92, and a Reggiana victory is priced at 4.55. Probability-wise: Modena - 55.48%, draw - 23.92%, Reggiana - 20.61%. Bookmakers see Modena as the favorite, but the chance of a draw is also notable. Over/under options: over 2.5 goals is at 1.79, under 2.5 is at 1.99. Both teams to score: yes - 1.75, no - 1.97. Individual team totals: Modena over 1.5 goals - 1.75, Reggiana over 0.5 goals - 1.49. Double chance options are 1X at 1.17, X2 at 2.13. Half-time options: first half over 1.0 goals - 1.73, second half over 1.5 goals - 2.01.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Modena has an average ball possession of 52.2%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Reggiana has 37.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Modena's last three matches were: April 24, 2026, Monza 1-0 Modena; April 18, 2026, Modena 1-2 Frosinone; April 14, 2026, Catanzaro 2-2 Modena. Reggiana's last three matches were: April 25, 2026, Reggiana 1-1 Palermo; April 19, 2026, Padova 1-0 Reggiana; April 12, 2026, Reggiana 2-0 Carrarese. Their last head-to-head was on October 28, 2025: Reggiana 1-0 Modena.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Modena has an average total of 2.8 goals scored and conceded per game, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Reggiana averages 2.4 total goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Modena has 3 out of 5 matches over, Reggiana has 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Modena - 3 out of 5, Reggiana - 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5. Goal intervals: Modena most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%), and concedes evenly in the 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Reggiana's goals are distributed across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each), with most goals conceded between 16-30 minutes (50%). Overall, both teams are not highly prolific in attack, with average goals scored not exceeding 1.0 per game. However, both have a tendency for over 2.5 goals, especially Modena, though Reggiana's is lower. Considering the statistics and odds, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.60 seems optimal, as the average totals and frequency support a bet on moderate scoring.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Modena averages 5 corners per match, Reggiana 2.6. For over 9.5 corners: Modena has 3 out of 5 matches over, Reggiana 2 out of 5. The line offers a 7.5 corners total: over 7.5 is at 1.44, under 7.5 is at 2.63. The combined average of both teams' corners is 7.6. Based on this data, a bet on over 7.5 corners is logical, given Modena's consistent corner performance and higher frequency of over totals. Modena often wins the corner battle, though odds for this outcome are not provided. Overall, a moderate but steady level of corner activity is expected, with Modena likely to contribute the majority of set pieces.