Prediction for match Empoli — Modena

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Italy's Serie B on January 31, Empoli will face Modena. The odds for a Modena win are 2.10, a draw is priced at 3.15, and an Empoli victory is at 3.74. In terms of probabilities, Modena has a 44.88% chance of winning, a draw is at 29.92%, and Empoli at 25.20%. This setup suggests that Modena is considered the more likely winner, but a draw is also a possibility. The goal total line appears balanced, allowing for bets on the match's productivity. Odds for over 2.0 goals are at 1.60, and over 2.5 goals are at 2.18, reflecting moderate expectations for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Empoli lost 0-3 to Carrarese, fell 0-1 to Südtirol, and defeated Cesena 1-0. Modena, in their last three games, drew 0-0 with Palermo, won 2-0 against Pescara, and lost 0-2 to Padova. In a head-to-head meeting on October 24, 2025, Modena defeated Empoli 2-1. Over a five-match span, Empoli averages 47.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Modena averages 48.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. This data indicates both teams play with discipline, though Modena is slightly more aggressive in terms of fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Empoli has only once gone over 2.5 goals, with four low-scoring outcomes. Modena has two matches over 2.5 goals and three under. Empoli's matches average 1.6 goals, while Modena's average 2. Empoli scores 0.6 goals per game, Modena 0.8, indicating low scoring from both sides. In terms of halves, Empoli has only one match over 1.5 goals in either half, similar for Modena with two in the second half. Empoli's most frequent scoring period is the 16-30 minute mark (50%), while Modena's is the 76-90 minute mark (50%). Empoli also concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (50%), and Modena between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each). These stats support a tendency for low-scoring games, making under 2.5 goals a logical choice. The odds for this outcome are 1.66.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over a five-match span, Empoli averages 4.2 corners, Modena 6.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is two out of five for Empoli and three out of five for Modena. The closest sum for the average total is 9.5, with odds for over 9.5 corners at 1.83 and under at 1.85. Modena is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.74. Based on the statistics, an active flank play from Modena can be expected, and the possibility of over 9.5 corners should not be ruled out, considering their average and recent match frequency.