Prediction for match Troyes — Red Star, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Ligue 2 on January 3rd, Troyes will face Red Star. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Troyes is priced at 1.79, a draw at 3.38, and a win for Red Star at 4.72. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Troyes win at 52.39%, draw at 27.74%, and Red Star win at 19.87%. Based on these figures, Troyes appears to be the favorite, but a draw is also a possibility according to the odds. For comparison, the closest competitor in probability is a draw, but the gap with Troyes is quite noticeable. The market also offers options on totals, both teams to score, double chance, and individual team performance, providing interesting betting opportunities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Troyes has an average possession of 59.8%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and has 2.8 offsides per game. Red Star has an average possession of 49.8%, 1.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Troyes' last three matches: 20.12.2025 - Olympique Marcquois - Troyes 1-3, 15.12.2025 - Boulogne - Troyes 1-2, 06.12.2025 - Troyes - Rodez 1-1. Red Star's last three matches: 13.12.2025 - Red Star - Reims 0-0, 22.11.2025 - Red Star - Clermont Foot 2-2, 08.11.2025 - Le Mans - Red Star 0-0. In their head-to-head on 23.09.2025, Red Star lost to Troyes 1-3. These figures show that Troyes often achieves positive results, while Red Star frequently plays to a draw or goalless matches.

Teams' Goal Scoring Streaks

In the last five matches, both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 matches and under in 2. Troyes averages 3 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Red Star averages 2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. In the first half, both teams went over 1.5 goals twice out of five, while in the second half, Troyes did so four times out of five, and Red Star once. In terms of goal intervals: Troyes most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%), while Red Star scores in the first 15 minutes (38%). In terms of goals conceded: Troyes is most vulnerable at the end (76-90, 30%), and Red Star at the start (0-15, 33%) and during the 16-30 and 61-75 intervals (33% each). These data suggest a tendency for high-scoring endings for Troyes and instability for Red Star at the beginning and middle of matches. Overall, both teams' total profiles do not fall into the low-scoring zone: Troyes has a consistent over-profile, and Red Star has an average one, but three over 2.5 hits out of five. Given that Troyes consistently scores and Red Star is not strong defensively, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.04 seems logical.

Corners Total Analysis

Troyes averages 5.6 corners per match, Red Star 3. The frequency of over 9.5 corners total is 3 out of 5 for Troyes and 1 out of 5 for Red Star. The closest total to the average is 8.5: odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.64, under 8.5 is 2.04. In terms of corners outcome, Troyes is the favorite with odds of 1.40. The statistics show that Troyes often plays with a significant advantage in corners, while Red Star falls short in this aspect. Betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified, considering the average figures and Troyes' frequency of hitting the mark.