Prediction for match Troyes — Reims

Match Analysis: Troyes vs Reims

On January 17, 2026, in the French Ligue 2, Troyes will face Reims. According to the main 1X2 odds, a victory for Troyes is priced at 2.35, Reims at 3.06, and a draw at 3.18. In terms of probability, Troyes has a 39.89% chance, Reims 30.63%, and a draw 29.48%. These numbers indicate a moderate advantage for Troyes, but Reims also has a significant chance for a positive outcome. The match promises to be interesting in terms of power distribution, considering both teams are in good form and have shown commendable results in recent rounds.

Team Results and Statistics

Troyes has been consistent in their last five matches: victories over Bastia 2-0 (January 10), Red Star 1-0 (January 3), and Olympique Marcquois 3-1 (December 20), as well as a win against Boulogne 2-1 (December 15) and a draw with Rodez 1-1 (December 6). Reims is also on a roll, defeating Le Puy Foot 3-0 (January 10), Annecy 2-1 (January 3), Croix Football IC 4-0 (December 19), and drawing 0-0 with Red Star (December 13) while thrashing Laval 4-0 (December 8). In their last head-to-head on October 24, 2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw. Over the last five matches, Troyes has an average possession of 54.6%, commits 15.2 fouls, receives 1.4 yellow cards, and records 2.2 offsides. Reims averages 60% possession, 12.8 fouls, 1.2 yellow cards, and 3.6 offsides. These figures indicate high discipline from both teams and their ability to control the ball.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown high scoring potential over the last five matches: Troyes averages 2.4 goals per match, while Reims averages 2.2. Troyes scores 1.8 goals per game and concedes 0.6, whereas Reims scores 2 and concedes just 0.2. For over 2.5 total goals, Troyes has 2 out of 5 matches, and Reims 3 out of 5. In the second half, Troyes has seen over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Reims has none. In the first half, Troyes has over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5, Reims in 3 out of 5. Troyes scores evenly across all five 15-minute intervals, at 20% each. Reims most often scores between 16-30 minutes (43%). Troyes concedes half of their goals between 76-90 minutes, while Reims' conceded goals are evenly distributed in the first three intervals at 33% each. Based on this data, a bet on over 2.25 total goals at 1.83 seems justified: both teams regularly score, and the average goal figures are above two. Moreover, Troyes and Reims have potential for a high-scoring game, especially in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last five matches, Troyes averages 5 corners, Reims 3.4. For over 9.5 corners, Troyes has 3 out of 5 matches, Reims only 1 out of 5. Looking at the odds, for a total of 8.5, both options are available: over 8.5 is priced at 1.67, under 8.5 at 2.05. This value is close to the combined average corners of both teams (8.4). Troyes is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.73. It is logical to expect Troyes to be more active in corner kicks, and the total corners in the match could approach 8-9. A bet on over 8.5 corners seems interesting, considering Troyes' frequency and the overall dynamic of corner kicks in recent matches.