Prediction for match Estudiantes — Cusco

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Copa Libertadores on April 14, Estudiantes will face Cusco. The odds heavily favor the Argentine side: Estudiantes to win is priced at 1.25, a draw is at 5.84, and a victory for Cusco is at 13.80. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Estudiantes - 76.65%, draw - 16.41%, Cusco - 6.94%. This setup reflects analysts' confidence in Estudiantes' advantage, which is also supported by the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Estudiantes have maintained 54% ball possession, averaging 4 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Cusco shows 52.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. Estudiantes' last three matches were: April 11, 2026 - Estudiantes vs. Union Santa Fe - 2-1, April 9, 2026 - Independiente Medellin vs. Estudiantes - 1-1, April 3, 2026 - San Lorenzo vs. Estudiantes - 1-0. Cusco's last three matches: April 9, 2026 - Cusco vs. Flamengo - 0-2, April 4, 2026 - Melgar vs. Cusco - 1-3, March 21, 2026 - UKV Moquegua vs. Cusco - 1-2. In these encounters, both teams alternated between wins, losses, and draws.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams saw over 2.5 goals three times, with the under occurring twice. The average number of goals in Estudiantes' matches is 2.8, while Cusco's is 2.6. The Argentinians score an average of 2 goals per game, Cusco - 1.4, with Estudiantes conceding 0.8 and Cusco - 1.2. In terms of halves, Estudiantes did not exceed 1.5 goals in the first half in any of their last five matches, while the second half saw over 1.5 goals three times. Cusco exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five matches, with the second half seeing this total three times. Estudiantes most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (40%), while Cusco spreads their scoring between the 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each). In terms of goals conceded, Estudiantes distributes evenly across four intervals (25% each), while Cusco most often concedes in the last 15 minutes (33%). Considering both teams have an over-profile for the 2.5 total and average goal stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Estudiantes and Cusco average 3.6 corners per game in their last five matches. The total corners over 9.5 occurred only once in five games for both teams, with the total being lower in the rest. Considering the total corners, the line close to the average sum (7.2) is 7.5, but only higher values are offered in the odds. In the corners market, the under 9.5 total, which occurred 4 out of 5 times for both teams, stands out. Neither team excels in average corner count, suggesting a possible balance in this aspect. Overall, the match doesn't promise a high number of corners, and a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified based on recent game statistics.