Prediction for match Estudiantes — Atletico Sarmiento

Match Analysis: Estudiantes vs Atletico Sarmiento

On February 20, 2026, Estudiantes will face Atletico Sarmiento in the Argentine Professional League. The odds for an Estudiantes victory are 1.68, a draw is at 3.08, and an Atletico Sarmiento win is valued at 6.79. The probability percentages are as follows: Estudiantes - 55.78%, draw - 30.42%, Atletico Sarmiento - 13.80%. Estudiantes is considered the favorite according to the odds, but the likelihood of a draw is also quite high, as reflected in the odds distribution.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Estudiantes has averaged 52.4% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 10.6 fouls, and recorded 0.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Atletico Sarmiento has averaged 48.8% possession, received 4.4 yellow cards, committed 17.2 fouls, and been caught offside 1.2 times per match. Estudiantes' last three games were: 15.02.2026 Gimnasia - Estudiantes 0-0, 09.02.2026 Estudiantes - Deportivo Riestra 1-0, 02.02.2026 Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes 0-0. Atletico Sarmiento's last three games were: 14.02.2026 Huracan - Atletico Sarmiento 1-0, 08.02.2026 Atletico Sarmiento - Atletico Tucuman 2-1, 04.02.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Atletico Sarmiento 2-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 14.06.2024: Atletico Sarmiento - Estudiantes 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Estudiantes has an average total of 1.2 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.4 per game. Atletico Sarmiento has an average total of 1.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. In Estudiantes' last five matches, only 1 out of 5 went over 2.5 goals, while 4 out of 5 went under. For Atletico Sarmiento, 2 out of 5 went over 2.5 goals, and 3 went under. By halftime, Estudiantes had 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and none in the second. Atletico Sarmiento had 1 out of 5 with over 1.5 goals in each half. Estudiantes most frequently scores between the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (40% each), while Atletico Sarmiento scores most often between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (29% each). Estudiantes tends to concede between the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (50% each), while Atletico Sarmiento concedes 100% of their goals between the 61-75 minutes. Given the low scoring nature of both teams, infrequent overs on 2.5 goals, and average scoring and conceding rates, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.45 seems most logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Estudiantes averages 4 corners per match, and Atletico Sarmiento averages 3.6. In the last five matches, Estudiantes recorded over 9.5 corners three times, and Atletico Sarmiento did so twice. Considering the total corners, the combined average of both teams is 7.6. Among the available lines, the total of 9.5 is the closest, offering both outcomes: over 9.5 and under 9.5. In the last five matches, Estudiantes surpassed the 9.5 corners mark three times, while Atletico Sarmiento did so twice. Based on this data, a bet on total corners closer to 9.5 seems justified, although the average values of both teams do not exceed 8 corners per game. Additionally, Estudiantes receives an average of 2.4 yellow cards, and Atletico Sarmiento 4.4, indicating a fairly tough contest.