Prediction for match Excelsior — Groningen

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Eredivisie on December 5, Excelsior will face Groningen. Odds for a Groningen win are 2.16, which corresponds to a 44.43% probability. Excelsior is offered at 3.32 (28.91%), and a draw at 3.60 (26.66%). Among the additional markets, the both teams to score bet stands out: yes - 1.54, no - 2.32. For the total over 2.5 goals, the odds are 1.69, and under 2.5 - 2.22. This suggests that the bookmakers expect a high-scoring match, but do not rule out a scenario with a moderate number of goals. Double chance options are: 1.34 for X2, 1.71 for 1X, 1.30 for 12. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a Groningen win, but Excelsior is not without hope.

Team Performance Overview

In their last five matches, Excelsior has an average possession of 50.2%, averages 1.8 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and 0.2 offsides per game. Groningen has higher possession at 52.8%, with 0.8 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Excelsior played as follows: November 29 - Excelsior 1-0 NAC Breda, November 22 - Ajax 1-2 Excelsior, November 8 - Excelsior 1-2 Heracles. Groningen's last three matches: December 2 - Ajax 2-0 Groningen, November 23 - Groningen 2-2 Zwolle, November 9 - NEC Nijmegen 2-0 Groningen. In their head-to-head on January 16, 2024, Excelsior lost to Groningen 0-2.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Excelsior vs Groningen

In the last five matches, Excelsior has an average total of 2.4 goals, scoring and conceding 1.2 per game. Groningen's average total is higher at 3.4, but they score 1.0 and concede 2.4 goals. Excelsior has 3 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, while Groningen has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Excelsior has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Groningen has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Excelsior has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Groningen 4 out of 5. This indicates a trend towards more productive second halves. For goal intervals, Excelsior most frequently scores between 0-15, 16-30, and 46-60 minutes (29% each), while Groningen scores in the 46-60 minute interval (42%). Excelsior concedes most often in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Groningen concedes early (0-15, 40%) and in the middle of the second half (46-60, 40%). Considering both teams' scoring averages and frequent over 2.5 totals, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.69 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Excelsior averages 5 corners in their last five matches, while Groningen averages a higher 6.6. For over 9.5 corners, Excelsior has 3 out of 5, and Groningen 4 out of 5. Among the corner total odds, the line on 9.5 stands out: over 9.5 is at 1.87, under 9.5 is also 1.87. In corner outcomes, Groningen is favored with odds of 1.76. Given both teams' statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, as well as Groningen's advantage in corner counts.