Prediction for match Excelsior — Zwolle

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The match between Excelsior and Zwolle in the Eredivisie is scheduled for December 20, 2025. For the 1X2 outcome, Excelsior's win is priced at 2.15, a draw at 3.72, and Zwolle's win at 3.24. Based on probability percentages, Excelsior has a 44.61% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.78%, and Zwolle has a 29.60% chance. Excelsior holds the edge according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, promising a competitive contest. The options for total goals are also intriguing: Over 2.5 is at 1.64, and Both Teams to Score: Yes is at 1.50, indicating a potentially high-scoring match. Additionally, the odds on individual team totals and double chance offer a wide range of betting choices.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Excelsior averages 44.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Zwolle shows different figures: 40.2% possession, 2.2 yellows, 12 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Excelsior's recent matches: December 5 - Excelsior 0-2 Groningen, November 29 - Excelsior 1-0 NAC Breda, November 22 - Ajax 1-2 Excelsior. Zwolle's last three games: December 13 - Zwolle 1-0 Fortuna Sittard, December 6 - Feyenoord 6-1 Zwolle, December 3 - Zwolle 1-3 AZ Alkmaar. Their last head-to-head was on April 6, 2024, where Zwolle won 2-1 against Excelsior. It's also notable that Excelsior and Zwolle exhibit different styles in terms of fouls and possession, which might influence the game's nature.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring output of both teams in their last five matches is quite high. Excelsior averages 2.6 goals per game, while Zwolle averages 3.8. Excelsior scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4 on average, whereas Zwolle scores 1.4 and concedes 2.4. For Over 2.5 goals: Excelsior has 3 out of 5 matches over, and Zwolle has 4 out of 5. This is also reflected in halves: Excelsior has 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half, and Zwolle has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Excelsior has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Zwolle has 3 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals, Excelsior frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, and 46-60 minute segments (29% each), while Zwolle often scores between 31-45 minutes (42%). Both teams are vulnerable at the end: Excelsior concedes 33% in the 76-90 minute interval, and Zwolle 43% in the same period. Considering the high average scoring rate, frequent Over 2.5 hits, and active endings, a bet on Over 2.5 goals at 1.64 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Excelsior averages 3.8 corners per match, Zwolle 2.2, totaling 6. In a five-match series, Excelsior has 3 out of 5 games over 9.5 corners, while Zwolle has 4 out of 5. Among the totals with paired odds, the total of 9.5 corners seems closest to the average sum: Over 9.5 is at 1.71, Under 9.5 at 2.07. For the corner outcome, Excelsior is favored at 1.50. Based on recent match dynamics, both teams are capable of earning and conceding several set-pieces, but the frequency of Over 9.5 corners suggests considering the Over 9.5 option. It's also worth noting that Excelsior earns more corners compared to Zwolle, as confirmed by average values and corner outcomes.