Prediction for match Fagiano Okayama — Nagoya Grampus

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the J1 League match between Fagiano Okayama and Nagoya Grampus on March 1, 2026, the odds for a Nagoya Grampus win are 2.49. A victory for Fagiano Okayama is priced at 2.99, while a draw is at 3.02. According to probability percentages, Fagiano Okayama is rated at 31.34%, a draw at 31.03%, and Nagoya Grampus at 37.63%. Therefore, Nagoya Grampus is given a slight edge, but the gap between the teams isn't significant. Options on total goals are also worth considering, given both teams' recent scoring profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fagiano Okayama has an average possession of 38.6%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 16 fouls, and has 1 offside per game. Nagoya Grampus has higher possession at 54.8%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Fagiano Okayama lost 1-2 to Gamba Osaka (22.02.2026), played a 5-6 thriller against Sanfrecce Hiroshima (14.02.2026), and lost 6-7 to Avispa Fukuoka (08.02.2026). Nagoya Grampus in their last three outings lost 1-3 to V-Varen Nagasaki (21.02.2026), beat Gamba Osaka 3-2 (15.02.2026), and won 1-0 against Shimizu S-Pulse (08.02.2026). Their last head-to-head encounter was on 13.09.2025: Fagiano Okayama 0-1 Nagoya Grampus.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Fagiano Okayama averaged 2.2 goals per match, while Nagoya Grampus averaged 2.0. Fagiano Okayama scores on average 1 goal, Nagoya Grampus 0.8, with both teams conceding 1.2 goals each. Regarding the frequency of over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, and 3 out of 5 with two or fewer. In the first half, Fagiano Okayama had 2 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, while Nagoya Grampus had none. In the second half, Fagiano Okayama had only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Nagoya Grampus had 2 out of 5. Fagiano Okayama tends to score most frequently between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Nagoya Grampus scores between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Conceding-wise, Fagiano Okayama is most vulnerable towards the end: 29% of goals in each of the intervals 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes. For Nagoya Grampus, half of the goals conceded come in the 76-90 minute interval. Considering both teams' average goals scored do not exceed 1, and the total goals in matches hover around 2-2.2, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.54 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On corners, Fagiano Okayama earns an average of 4.4 per match, Nagoya Grampus 4.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Fagiano Okayama had 3 out of 5 matches going over, Nagoya Grampus had 2 out of 5. Among all corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5, for which there are both outcome options. The over 9.5 corners total is priced at 1.83, under 9.5 at 1.85. For the outcome on corners, Fagiano Okayama is favored with odds of 1.73. With these figures, it makes sense to consider a corner total close to 9-10, and also pay attention to Fagiano Okayama's activity on wing deliveries.