Prediction for match Famalicao — Estrela

Match Analysis: Famalicao vs Estrela

On December 27, 2025, a Primeira Liga match will take place between Famalicao and Estrela. According to the 1X2 odds, Famalicao is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.61 with a probability of 60.17%. A draw is priced at 4.10 (23.63%), while Estrela's win is at 5.98 (16.20%). For the total goals line, over 2.5 goals is at 1.98, and under 2.5 goals is at 1.90. Both teams to score: yes - 1.93, no - 1.78. These figures suggest a moderately high-scoring game with a slight edge for Famalicao.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Famalicao averages 47.2% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Estrela averages 49% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Famalicao's last three matches: 22.12.2025 Benfica - Famalicao 1-0, 18.12.2025 Porto - Famalicao 4-1, 14.12.2025 Famalicao - Estoril 4-0. Estrela's last three matches: 20.12.2025 Estrela - Moreirense 0-0, 15.12.2025 Porto - Estrela 3-1, 07.12.2025 Estrela - Arouca 3-1. The most recent head-to-head was on 25.01.2025, ending Famalicao - Estrela 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Famalicao has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 per game. Estrela averages 2.8 total goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Famalicao has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Estrela has seen it in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Famalicao and 2 times for Estrela in the last five matches. In the second half, Famalicao had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Estrela had 2 out of 5. Famalicao often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (40%). Estrela frequently scores between the 16th and 30th and the 61st and 75th minutes (27% each), conceding most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (67%). Overall, both teams are inclined toward high-scoring games, especially Famalicao. Given the frequency of over 2.5 goals, average totals, and activity by halves, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Famalicao averages 3.4 corners per game, while Estrela averages 2.2. Famalicao has seen over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, whereas Estrela has seen it in 1 out of 5. The closest total to their average is 5.5, but the line offers over 9.5 corners at 1.75 and under 9.5 at 1.94. Famalicao is favored at 1.30 for corners. Given this data, considering under 9.5 corners is logical, as neither team is particularly active in this regard. It's also worth noting that Famalicao has exceeded 9.5 corners three times in five matches, but their averages remain low.