Prediction for match Fatih Karagümrük — Istanbul Basaksehir, 04.02.2026

Match Analysis: Fatih Karagümrük vs Istanbul Basaksehir

In the Turkish Cup on February 4th, Fatih Karagümrük will face Istanbul Basaksehir. According to the 1X2 odds, Istanbul Basaksehir is the favorite with odds of 1.69 and a 55.16% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.78 (24.66%), while a victory for Fatih Karagümrük is at 4.62 (20.18%). The percentage breakdown is as follows: Istanbul Basaksehir - 55.16%, draw - 24.66%, Fatih Karagümrük - 20.18%. This reflects the current status and form of the teams over their recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Fatih Karagümrük lost to Göztepe 1-2 (31.01), Galatasaray 1-3 (24.01), and Istanbul Basaksehir 1-2 (17.01). During the same period, Istanbul Basaksehir drew with Rizespor 2-2 (31.01), defeated Kayserispor 3-0 (24.01), and beat Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 (17.01). Over the last 5 matches, Fatih Karagümrük's average possession is 44.2%, with 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 3.4 offsides per game. Istanbul Basaksehir averages 55.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 17, Istanbul Basaksehir won 2-1. Fatih Karagümrük shows a consistent number of fouls and offsides, while Istanbul Basaksehir has a higher possession percentage and fewer yellow cards. These statistics highlight the differences in playing style and discipline between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük's games averaged 2.8 goals, with the team scoring 0.8 and conceding 2. Istanbul Basaksehir's average total is 3.6, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8. Over 5 matches, Fatih Karagümrük had over 2.5 goals 3 times, under 2.5 twice. Istanbul Basaksehir had over 2.5 goals 4 times, under once. In terms of halves, Fatih Karagümrük had more than 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and in the second half 3 times. Istanbul Basaksehir had more than 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and in the second half in all 5 matches. Fatih Karagümrük most frequently scores between 0-15 and 16-30 minutes (25% each), and concedes early in the match (0-15 - 33%) and right after the break (46-60 - 33%). Istanbul Basaksehir most often scores between 16-30 minutes (33%) and concedes mainly between 61-75 minutes (44%). Considering Istanbul Basaksehir's high scoring rate and frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems logical. The second half stands out particularly: in all five recent matches, Istanbul Basaksehir had over 1.5 goals in the second half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last 5 matches, Fatih Karagümrük averaged 2.2 corners, while Istanbul Basaksehir averaged 3.4. In a series of five games, Fatih Karagümrük did not exceed a corner total of over 9.5, while Istanbul Basaksehir did so once. The closest to the average total is 5.5, but there is a line for a total of 9.5 corners: odds for over 9.5 corners are unavailable, as are odds for under 9.5 corners. Neither team stands out as a clear winner on corners. Given the low averages and infrequent high totals, it makes sense to consider cautious bets on lower corner totals in this aspect.