Prediction for match Porto — AVS, 29.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and AVS on December 29, bookmakers have a clear favorite. Porto's victory is priced at 1.13, a draw at 10.00, and an AVS win at 20.00. Porto's chances of success are estimated at 85.51%, a draw at 9.66%, and an AVS win at 4.83%. These figures reflect the difference in class and current form of the teams, as confirmed by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

Porto has won their last three matches: December 22 - Alverca 0-3 Porto, December 18 - Porto 4-1 Famalicão, December 15 - Porto 3-1 Estrela. Over the same period, AVS played as follows: December 21 - AVS 2-2 Nacional, December 17 - Vitória Guimarães 0-1 AVS, December 13 - Sporting Lisbon 6-0 AVS. In their head-to-head on March 15, 2025, Porto defeated AVS 2-0. Porto stands out with 63.6% ball possession compared to AVS's 40.8%, and fewer yellow cards (0.8 compared to 3.2). The teams are close in fouls: 12.8 for Porto and 12.6 for AVS. Porto is also more often caught offside with 2.8 per match, while AVS has 1.2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have seen high goal totals in their last five matches: Porto averages 3.4, AVS 3.6. During this period, Porto scores 2.8 goals per game and concedes 0.6, while AVS scores only 0.8 and concedes 2.8. Both teams have exceeded 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches. In the first half, over 1.5 goals was recorded twice for Porto and three times for AVS, while in the second half, it was four times for Porto and three for AVS. Porto most frequently scores between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (each 22%), while AVS scores most often between the 31st-45th minutes (43%). Porto concedes most often from the 46th to the 60th minute (50%), while AVS's conceded goals are evenly distributed across five intervals (each 20%). Based on this data and the difference in scoring ability, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.48 seems logical, but the odds are below the acceptable threshold. A more optimal choice is betting on AVS's individual total under 0.5 at 1.53, considering AVS's low scoring and Porto's strong defense. In the last five matches, AVS scored only 4 goals, while Porto conceded just 3. This option is also supported by the frequency of AVS's total under 0.5 occurring 3 times out of 5.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Porto averages 4.6 corners per game, AVS 4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Porto had it only once in 5 matches, while AVS had it 4 times in 5. For the corner total line of 8.5, both values are available: over 8.5 is at 1.57, under 8.5 at 2.26. A victory in corners is more often predicted for Porto at 1.02. Based on this data, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified, given AVS's high frequency and both teams' average figures. Porto consistently delivers more than 4 corners per match, which can also be considered for additional bets.