Prediction for match Porto — Famalicao

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Taça de Portugal on December 18, Porto will face Famalicão. The odds for a Porto victory are set at 1.40, a draw is at 4.45, and a win for Famalicão is valued at 7.75. In terms of probabilities: 66.88% for Porto, 21.04% for a draw, and 12.08% for Famalicão. Porto is the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, which is also supported by the statistics from their recent encounters.

Team Results and Statistics

Porto has been showing solid form in their last five matches: 61% possession, averaging 1 yellow card, 13.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Famalicão in the same period has 50.2% possession, 4 yellow cards, 16.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Recent matches for Porto: 15.12.2025 - Porto vs Estrela - 3-1, 11.12.2025 - Porto vs Malmö - 2-1, 07.12.2025 - Tondela vs Porto - 0-2. For Famalicão: 14.12.2025 - Famalicão vs Estoril - 4-0, 06.12.2025 - Famalicão vs Braga - 1-2, 29.11.2025 - Moreirense vs Famalicão - 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 09.11.2025, Famalicão lost to Porto 0-1.

Goal Statistics

Both teams have an average total of 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches. Porto scores 2.2 goals and concedes 0.4, while Famalicão scores 1.6 and concedes 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals. More than 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 2 times out of 5 for each team, and similarly, 2 times out of 5 in the second half. Porto most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), while Famalicão scores most often between the 46th and 60th minute and the 76th and 90th minute (29% each). Porto usually concedes between the 46th and 60th minute (75%), and Famalicão between the 16th and 30th minute and the 31st and 45th minute (33% each). The overall goal statistics and over totals suggest that a bet on over 2.5 goals is logical for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

Porto averages 4.4 corners per game, while Famalicão averages 4.6. In the last five matches, Porto did not surpass the over 9.5 corners total, while Famalicão did 3 times out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.61, and under 9.5 is at 2.23. Porto is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.28. Considering the average activity in corners and the frequency of surpassing the 9.5 total by Famalicão, a bet on over 9.5 corners can be considered, although Porto did not achieve this in their last five matches.