Prediction for match Porto — Nottingham Forest

Match Analysis: Porto vs Nottingham Forest

On April 9, 2026, Porto will face Nottingham Forest in the Europa League. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are as follows: Porto's victory is priced at 2.24, a draw at 3.44, and a Nottingham Forest win at 3.60. In terms of probability, Porto has a 43.99% chance of winning, a draw is at 28.64%, and Nottingham Forest has a 27.37% chance. This suggests a slight edge for Porto, but Nottingham Forest is not a clear underdog either. Interestingly, the odds for both teams to score are quite balanced: 'yes' at 1.85 and 'no' at 1.87, highlighting the expectation of a competitive match with goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Porto's recent matches, they drew 2-2 with Famalicão (04/04/2026), defeated Braga 2-1 (22/03/2026), and won against Stuttgart 2-0 (19/03/2026). Over their last five matches, Porto has averaged 44.4% possession, 3.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Nottingham Forest, in their last three games, thrashed Tottenham 3-0 (22/03/2026), beat Midtjylland 5-1 (19/03/2026), and drew 0-0 with Fulham (15/03/2026). Over five matches, Forest has averaged 44.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their head-to-head on October 23, 2025, Nottingham Forest was stronger, beating Porto 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Porto's average total goals per game is 3, while Nottingham Forest's is 2.2. Porto scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 0.8; Forest scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8. Porto has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Nottingham Forest has seen it in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Porto has had over 1.5 goals twice in five games, while Forest has not. In the second half, Porto has exceeded 1.5 goals twice, Forest three times. Porto most often scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute marks (22% each), while Nottingham Forest scores most frequently between the 61-75 minute mark (67%). Porto concedes most often between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute marks (33% each), and Forest in the closing stages (76-90, 38%). Given this data, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.85 seems logical: both teams regularly score, Porto has a consistent over-profile, and Forest has support in second halves and over 2.5 goal outcomes.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Porto averages 3.8 corners per match, while Nottingham Forest averages 5.4. In their last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners was achieved once by Porto and twice by Forest. Based on the combined average corners (9.2), the nearest total with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.71, under 9.5 is at 2.02. For corners, Porto is the favorite with odds at 1.64. Considering the statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given Forest's activity in delivering crosses and both teams' ability to create chances from the wings. Additionally, Porto records more fouls and yellow cards, which can lead to set pieces and, consequently, corners.