Prediction for match St. Pauli — RB Leipzig, 27.01.2026

Match Analysis: St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

In the Bundesliga on January 10, 2026, St. Pauli will face RB Leipzig. According to the 1X2 odds, RB Leipzig is favored with odds of 1.96 for their victory. A draw is priced at 3.81, while a win for St. Pauli is at 4.12. The probabilities are distributed as follows: St. Pauli - 23.90%, draw - 25.85%, RB Leipzig - 50.25%. These odds reflect RB Leipzig's advantage in current form and recent performance. However, both teams have their strengths, promising an exciting contest on the field.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, St. Pauli recorded the following results: December 21, 2025, Mainz 05 - St. Pauli 0-0, December 13, 2025, St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2-1, December 6, 2025, Cologne - St. Pauli 1-1. During the same period, RB Leipzig played as follows: December 20, 2025, RB Leipzig - Bayer 1-3, December 12, 2025, Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3-1, December 6, 2025, RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0. In their last head-to-head on February 9, 2025, RB Leipzig won against St. Pauli 2-0. Additional statistics show St. Pauli averages 39.4% possession, 1.4 offsides, 1.4 yellow cards, and 7.2 fouls per game. RB Leipzig shows 53.6% possession, 1.6 offsides, 1.6 yellow cards, and 8.6 fouls on average per match. These numbers highlight the difference in style and activity between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, St. Pauli surpassed the total over 2.5 goals three times and stayed under twice. RB Leipzig had four out of five matches end with a total over 2.5 goals. The average goals scored and conceded for St. Pauli is 2.4, while for RB Leipzig it's 3.6. St. Pauli scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.2, while RB Leipzig scores 2.2 and concedes 1.4. St. Pauli had more than 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of five, but more than 1.5 goals in the second half four times. RB Leipzig had over 1.5 goals in the first half in three out of five matches, and in the second half in two out of five. St. Pauli most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (43%), and concedes mostly in the final minutes - 76-90 (40%). For RB Leipzig, the most productive period is also 46-60 minutes (31%), while they concede most often between 31-45 minutes (40%). Considering RB Leipzig's high scoring rate and St. Pauli's decent figures, it makes sense to consider a total over 2.5 at odds of 1.86.

Corner Totals Analysis

St. Pauli averages 3 corners per game, while RB Leipzig averages 4. In the last five matches, St. Pauli surpassed the total corners over 9.5 three times, and RB Leipzig did so four times out of five. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (7) is 8.5: total corners over 8.5 is at 1.49, under 8.5 is at 2.44. There is also a bet on winning corners: RB Leipzig is favored with odds of 2.07. Based on the average activity of both teams and the frequency of surpassing the total, a bet on corners over 8.5 seems justified for this match.