Prediction for match Fenerbahce — Erzurumspor

Match Analysis: Fenerbahce vs Erzurumspor

On February 5, a Turkish Cup match will take place between Fenerbahce and Erzurumspor. According to the 1X2 odds, Fenerbahce is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.19, a draw is at 6.50, and Erzurumspor's victory is at 12.70. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Fenerbahce - 78.32%, draw - 14.34%, Erzurumspor - 7.34%. These odds confirm Fenerbahce's status as the clear favorite, but the odds on totals and additional outcomes offer opportunities for higher value bets.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fenerbahce has averaged 61.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Erzurumspor averages 54% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. In Fenerbahce's last three matches: February 2 - Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahce 0-2, January 29 - FCSB vs Fenerbahce 1-1, January 25 - Fenerbahce vs Goztepe 1-1. Erzurumspor has won their last three matches: January 31 - Erzurumspor vs Sarıyer 4-0, January 24 - Pendikspor vs Erzurumspor 1-2, January 18 - Erzurumspor vs Amed 2-0. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on February 5, 2025, ending 5-0 in favor of Fenerbahce.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, both teams have an average total of 2.4 goals. Fenerbahce scores 1.4 and concedes 1, while Erzurumspor scores 2.2 goals per game and concedes a minimal 0.2. For over 2.5 goals, Fenerbahce has 1 out of 5, Erzurumspor has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Fenerbahce, once for Erzurumspor; in the second half, once for Fenerbahce, three times for Erzurumspor. Fenerbahce often scores and concedes in the 16-30 minute interval (50% and 38% respectively), while Erzurumspor is most productive towards the end: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes in two intervals - 31-45 and 76-90 (50% each). Despite Erzurumspor's recent high scoring, Fenerbahce has a low frequency of over 2.5 goals, and Erzurumspor's defense concedes very little. This suggests considering under 3.25 goals at 1.76 as the main prediction.

Corner Totals Analysis

Fenerbahce averages 5.4 corners, Erzurumspor 2.8 per match. In a series of five matches, Fenerbahce's total corners over 9.5 occurred 5 times, while Erzurumspor never exceeded this. For corner totals of 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.40, under 8.5 is at 2.85. Considering the average total closest to 8.5, a bet on over seems preferable, given Fenerbahce's consistency in this aspect. Fenerbahce is the favorite in corner outcomes, supported by their average performance in this component. Expect at least 9 corners in the match, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified.