Prediction for match Feyenoord — Sturm Graz

Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz

In the Europa League on January 22, Feyenoord will face Sturm Graz. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a Feyenoord win is priced at 1.46, a draw at 5.16, and a Sturm Graz win at 7.26. In percentage terms: Feyenoord - 67.38%, draw - 19.07%, Sturm Graz - 13.55%. Feyenoord is considered the favorite, but the odds for totals and both teams to score are also intriguing: both teams to score - yes is at 1.61, no - 2.20. Total goals options: over 2.5 is at 1.42, over 2.75 at 1.52, over 3.0 at 1.67. The bet on both teams to score: yes seems most justified given the recent match statistics and the average scoring of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Feyenoord played as follows: 18.01.2026 - Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam - 3-4, 11.01.2026 - Heerenveen vs Feyenoord - 2-2, 21.12.2025 - Feyenoord vs Twente - 1-1. Sturm Graz in the same period: 14.12.2025 - Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz - 3-1, 11.12.2025 - Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade - 0-1, 07.12.2025 - Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK - 2-1. In their head-to-head on 27.10.2022, Sturm Graz defeated Feyenoord 1-0. Over the last 5 games, on average: Feyenoord had 52.4% possession, committed 9.2 fouls, was offside 0.8 times, and received 1 yellow card per match. Sturm Graz had 53.8% possession, 15.4 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards. This indicates a fairly high intensity of play for both teams, especially in terms of fouls by Sturm Graz.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Feyenoord's average total goals per match is 4, while Sturm Graz's is 2.6. Feyenoord scored an average of 1.6 and conceded 2.4, while Sturm Graz scored 1 and conceded 1.6. The over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams. By halves: over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred only once out of 5 matches for both teams, and in the second half - 2 out of 5. This points to a tendency for more goals after the break. Goal intervals: Feyenoord most frequently scored between 76-90 minutes - 50%, and conceded between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes - 30% each. Sturm Graz most often scored between 31-45 minutes - 33%, and conceded in three intervals of the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes - 29% each. Considering the average scoring, the occurrence of over 2.5 goals, and the fact that both teams regularly score and concede, the bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.61 appears logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Feyenoord averages 8 corners per match, Sturm Graz - 6.8. In a series of five games, the total over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for both teams. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5, there are a couple of outcomes: over 9.5 - 1.76, under 9.5 - 1.95. Feyenoord is favored in the corners market at 1.28. Overall, both teams actively use the wings and earn many set pieces, so a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual totals on corners could also be considered, given the high averages for both sides.