Prediction for match Fiorentina — Genoa

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Genoa

On May 10th, Fiorentina will face Genoa in Serie A. According to the odds, a Fiorentina win is priced at 2.17, a draw at 3.42, and a Genoa victory at 3.80. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Fiorentina - 45.34%, draw - 28.77%, Genoa - 25.89%. Fiorentina is the favorite, but the gap isn't significant, which is reflected in both the odds and percentages. Bookmakers see a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome, but a draw or a Genoa win are also plausible. There are also options for totals and both teams to score, but the main interest is in a low total.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fiorentina has an average possession of 46.8%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Genoa's numbers are similar: 47.4% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, 1 offside. Fiorentina's last three matches: May 4th - Roma vs Fiorentina - 4-0, April 26th - Fiorentina vs Sassuolo - 0-0, April 20th - Lecce vs Fiorentina - 1-1. Genoa's last three results: May 2nd - Atalanta vs Genoa - 0-0, April 26th - Genoa vs Como - 0-2, April 19th - Pisa vs Genoa - 1-2. Their last head-to-head was on November 9th, 2025: Genoa vs Fiorentina - 2-2.

How Many Goals in Fiorentina vs Genoa Match?

Both teams have an average of 2 goals per game over five matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. In the over 2.5 goals market, Fiorentina has 2 out of 5, and Genoa also has 2 out of 5, while the under 2.5 goals occurred 3 times for both. In the first half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, but in the second half, Fiorentina had none, and Genoa had 1 out of 5. This indicates low scoring after the break. Fiorentina most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (38%), while Genoa also scores most often in the same interval (60%). In terms of goals conceded, Fiorentina concedes most frequently between 16-30 minutes (100%), and Genoa in two intervals of the second half (46-60 and 61-75, both 33%). Overall, both teams are not highly productive, and the low average total and frequent under 2.5 outcomes make an under 2.5 bet at 1.80 the main choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Fiorentina averages 4.8 corners per match, while Genoa averages 3.8. In a series of five games, Fiorentina's total over 9.5 corners occurred twice, and Genoa's once. The closest to the average sum (8.6) is the 8.5 corners total, with both options available: over 8.5 corners at 1.66, under 8.5 at 2.08. For the corners outcome, Fiorentina is the favorite with odds of 1.57. Overall, both teams are not inclined to a large number of corners, and the frequency of over 9.5 is low. A bet on under 8.5 corners or Fiorentina winning on corners seems logical given their average numbers.