Prediction for match Flamengo — Independiente Medellin

Match Preview

In the Copa Libertadores on April 17, 2026, Flamengo will face Independiente Medellin. The 1X2 odds highlight Flamengo as the clear favorite: a win for them is at 1.25, a draw is at 5.94, and a victory for Independiente Medellin is at 13.20. In terms of probabilities: Flamengo - 76.62%, draw - 16.12%, Independiente Medellin - 7.26%. This reflects confidence in the Brazilian side's advantage, though the goal and total statistics for both teams deserve attention. The over/under line for goals highlights an over 2.5 bet at 1.82, and the BTTS: No option at 1.50, suggesting potential scoring but with Flamengo's defense in mind.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Flamengo averages 49% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Independiente Medellin shows 48.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. In Flamengo's last three matches: April 12 - Fluminense vs Flamengo 1-2, April 9 - Cusco vs Flamengo 0-2, April 5 - Flamengo vs Santos 3-1. For Independiente Medellin: April 12 - Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional 2-3, April 9 - Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes 1-1, April 3 - Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin 1-1. There have been no recent head-to-head meetings between these teams.

Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 cases. Flamengo averages 2.8 goals per game, while Independiente Medellin averages 3. In terms of goals scored: Flamengo - 1.6, Independiente Medellin - 1.4, and goals conceded - 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. In the first half, Flamengo twice recorded over 1.5 goals, Independiente Medellin once. In the second half, both teams have 3 instances of over 1.5 goals out of 5. For goal intervals: Flamengo most often scores between the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Independiente Medellin scores 38% of their goals in the last 15 minutes. In terms of goals conceded: Flamengo is most vulnerable at the start of the second half (46-60 minutes, 50%), Independiente Medellin in the first 15 minutes (43%). Overall, both teams tend towards high-scoring matches, supporting the over 2.5 goals bet at 1.82.

Corners in the Match

Flamengo averages 3.6 corners per game, Independiente Medellin - 5.2. In the last 5 matches, both teams have exceeded 9.5 corners twice. The closest line to the average total is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.94, under 9.5 is at 1.77. Flamengo is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.13. Given that both teams rarely exceed 9.5, it's logical to consider the under 9.5 corners option, but the difference in average figures suggests caution when choosing a corners bet.