Prediction for match Fluminense — Bahia, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Bahia

In Brazil's Serie A, Fluminense will face Bahia on December 7. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Fluminense is priced at 1.66, a draw at 3.89, and a victory for Bahia at 5.50. In terms of probability: Fluminense - 57.85%, draw - 24.69%, Bahia - 17.46%. The odds and probabilities suggest that Fluminense is seen as the stronger side in this matchup. However, Bahia has been gaining momentum in their recent games, and this match promises to be intriguing from both statistical and gameplay perspectives. Expectations for goals and activity from both teams are supported by their recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Fluminense has an average possession of 48.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 16.2 fouls, and is caught offside once per game on average. In the same period, Bahia has 61.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. Fluminense's last three matches: December 3 - Gremio vs Fluminense 1-2, November 27 - Fluminense vs São Paulo 6-0, November 23 - Palmeiras vs Fluminense 0-0. Bahia's last three matches: December 3 - Bahia vs Sport Recife 2-0, November 28 - Juventude vs Bahia 1-1, November 23 - Bahia vs Vasco da Gama 1-0. In their head-to-head match on September 10, Fluminense defeated Bahia 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Fluminense has an average total of 2 goals per game, while Bahia averages 2.8. Fluminense scores an average of 1.8 goals, and Bahia 1.6, with them conceding 0.2 and 1.2 respectively. The over 2.5 goals bet has landed in 2 out of 5 matches for both teams, with under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. For Fluminense, more than 1.5 goals in the first half occurred once in 5 matches, and in the second half, it happened twice. For Bahia, more than 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 3 times, and in the second half, twice. Fluminense most frequently scores between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Bahia scores consistently between 16 and 75 minutes (22% each). Fluminense is most vulnerable to conceding between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (50% each), and Bahia between 16-30 (33%). Considering the average scoring of both teams, and that over 2.5 goals occurred in only 2 out of 5 matches each, it's logical to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.86.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Fluminense averages 2.8 corners per game, while Bahia averages 7.4. In the last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred twice for Fluminense and four times for Bahia. The line closest to the average total (10.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 at 2.41, under 10.5 at 1.46. For the corner outcome, Fluminense is favored with odds of 1.51. Given that Bahia consistently earns many corners while Fluminense earns few, it's reasonable to expect a total around 10-11, with Bahia potentially leading in this aspect.