Prediction for match Fortuna Sittard — Almere City FC, 17.12.2025

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The KNVB Cup continues to deliver intriguing matchups, and up next is the clash between Fortuna Sittard and Almere City, scheduled for December 17, 2025. According to the odds, Fortuna Sittard has the upper hand: their victory is priced at 1.70, a draw is at 3.74, and Almere City's win is offered at 4.62. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Fortuna Sittard - 54.87%, draw - 24.94%, Almere City - 20.19%. This setup reflects confidence in Fortuna Sittard's higher chances, but Almere City has been showing productive football in recent matches, adding intrigue to the game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fortuna Sittard has been gaining momentum: their ball possession is at 47%, with an average of 2.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Almere City is close in possession (46.2%) but has fewer yellow cards (1.4) and slightly fewer fouls (13.6), along with more offsides (2.4). Fortuna Sittard's last three matches ended as follows: on December 13, they lost 0-1 to Zwolle, on December 6, they were defeated 1-3 by Ajax, and on November 29, they drew 1-1 with Heracles. Almere City defeated Jong PSV 3-2 on December 12, beat Jong Ajax 3-2 on December 5, and won against TOP Oss 2-1 on November 29. In their last head-to-head encounter on May 14, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Fortuna Sittard has only once exceeded a total of over 2.5 goals, while Almere City hit this mark in all 5 matches. The average total goals in Fortuna Sittard's matches is 2.2, compared to Almere City's 4.6, indicating high-scoring games for Almere City. Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.2, while Almere City scores 2.6 and concedes 2. By halves: Fortuna Sittard had only 1 of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, while Almere City had 3 of 5. In the second half, Fortuna Sittard had 2 of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, Almere City 3 of 5. Goal intervals: Fortuna Sittard most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (33%), while Almere City scores towards the end (76-90 minutes, 47%). Fortuna Sittard most often concedes at the start of the second half (46-60 minutes, 80%), while Almere City concedes most at the very end (76-90 minutes, 56%). Considering Almere City's high scoring and both teams' tendency to concede, a logical prediction is both teams to score. The odds for this event are 1.53.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Fortuna Sittard averages 7.2 corners per match, Almere City 6.8, totaling 14. In a series of five games, Fortuna Sittard exceeded 9.5 corners 3 times, Almere City 2 times. The betting line for the match offers these options: over 9.5 corners at 1.40, under 9.5 at 2.75. The option of over 9.5 corners seems justified, given the high averages of both teams. No favorite emerges in corner outcomes, as both teams consistently earn corners. Overall, an active game on this metric can be expected, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical.