Prediction for match Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar, 21.12.2025

Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar

On December 21st, in the Eredivisie, Fortuna Sittard will face AZ Alkmaar. The odds favor AZ Alkmaar as the favorite - their victory is priced at 1.85, a draw at 3.89, and a win for Fortuna Sittard at 4.08. In terms of probabilities: AZ Alkmaar to win - 51.84%, draw - 24.65%, Fortuna Sittard - 23.51%. In the goal totals market, Over 2.5 is priced at 1.63, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.53. For individual totals, AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals is at 1.68. Options for total goals of 2.75 and 3.0 are also in play at 1.68 and 1.89, respectively.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fortuna Sittard averages 48.8% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per game. AZ Alkmaar shows 57.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Fortuna Sittard's last three matches: 17.12.2025 - Fortuna Sittard vs Almere City 2-3, 13.12.2025 - Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard 1-0, 06.12.2025 - Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax 1-3. AZ Alkmaar's matches: 18.12.2025 - AZ Alkmaar vs Jagiellonia 0-0, 11.12.2025 - FC Drita vs AZ Alkmaar 0-3, 07.12.2025 - AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles 2-2. In their last encounter on 23.02.2025, AZ Alkmaar defeated Fortuna Sittard 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Fortuna Sittard has two matches over 2.5 goals and three under, while AZ Alkmaar has three over and two under. On average, Fortuna Sittard's matches see 2.8 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8, while AZ Alkmaar averages 2.4 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8. By halves, Fortuna Sittard has two matches over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves, while AZ Alkmaar has one in the first and three in the second. Fortuna Sittard most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), while AZ Alkmaar scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (75%). Fortuna Sittard concedes most between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), and AZ Alkmaar between the 76th and 90th minutes (56%). Overall, the profiles of both teams regarding totals and halves support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.63: both teams tend to score in the second half, and their average goals scored and conceded are not low. Additionally, over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for AZ Alkmaar and 2 out of 5 for Fortuna Sittard, which supports this choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Fortuna Sittard averages 7.2 corners over five matches, while AZ Alkmaar averages 6.6. For the total of 9.5 corners, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches go over. The line for total corners offers over 9.5 at 1.74 and under 9.5 at 1.95. In corner outcomes, AZ Alkmaar is the favorite with odds of 1.63. Given the average figures and frequency of overs, considering over 9.5 corners is a reasonable betting option. Fortuna Sittard regularly produces a high number of corners, and AZ Alkmaar maintains a high pace in this aspect, increasing the likelihood of an over bet succeeding.