Prediction for match Galatasaray — Kasimpasa

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Galatasaray and Kasimpasa will take place on December 21st as part of the Turkish Süper Lig. According to the 1X2 odds, Galatasaray is priced at 1.21, a draw is at 7.50, and a Kasimpasa victory is at 13.60. Looking at the probability percentages, Galatasaray has a 79.98% chance of winning, a draw is at 12.90%, and Kasimpasa's chance of success is 7.12%. Galatasaray clearly stands out as the favorite to win. Bookmakers also anticipate a high-scoring game, as indicated by the goal total lines. The odds for over 2.5 goals are at 1.32, and for over 3.0 goals, they are at 1.50, suggesting a trend towards high-scoring in this encounter.

Review of Recent Matches

In their last five matches, Galatasaray has shown varied results: on December 13th, they thrashed Antalyaspor 4-1, lost to Monaco 0-1 on December 9th, defeated Samsunspor 3-2 on December 5th, drew 1-1 with Fenerbahce on December 1st, and lost to Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1 on November 25th. Kasimpasa, in a similar stretch, drew 0-0 with Genclerbirligi on December 12th, had another goalless draw with Kocaelispor on December 7th, lost 1-3 to Istanbul Basaksehir on November 29th, won 2-1 against Alanyaspor on November 23rd, and lost 0-2 to Göztepe on November 8th. Looking at the averages over these five matches, Galatasaray holds 57.6% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. Kasimpasa, on the other hand, has 46.4% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times. In their last head-to-head match on March 2, 2025, the teams played to a 3-3 draw, highlighting the potential for a high-scoring encounter.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Considering scoring, Galatasaray has an average of 2.8 goals per match in their last five games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 on average. Kasimpasa has an average total of 1.8 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. In the first half, Galatasaray has gone over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Kasimpasa in 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. Galatasaray most frequently scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Kasimpasa scores most often between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). For goals conceded, Galatasaray stands out in the 46-60 minute interval (38%), and Kasimpasa also in the 46-60 minute interval (57%). Overall, the statistics suggest that Galatasaray consistently scores, while Kasimpasa struggles with scoring, making the bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.50 reasonable: Galatasaray is capable of scoring multiple goals, and Kasimpasa might contribute to the total, considering their high-scoring head-to-head matches.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of average corners over the last five matches, Galatasaray records 2.8, while Kasimpasa records 4.8. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (7.6) is 7.5, with two possible outcomes: over 7.5 corners at 1.23, under 7.5 corners at 3.42. For the corner outcome, Galatasaray is the favorite with odds of 1.14. It is logical to expect that the teams will not exceed 8-9 corners in this match, as neither team shows high series in this indicator. A bet on a corner total closer to 8 can be considered, but a bet on a clear over for a large total seems risky, given the averages.