Prediction for match Galatasaray — Samsunspor, 05.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On Friday, December 5, 2025, Galatasaray will face Samsunspor in the Turkish Süper Lig. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Galatasaray is priced at 1.45, a draw at 4.82, and a victory for Samsunspor at 7.44. The probability of Galatasaray winning is 66.86%, a draw is 20.11%, and Samsunspor's chances are 13.03%. These figures make Galatasaray the clear favorite according to the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Galatasaray drew 1-1 with Fenerbahçe, lost 0-1 to Union Saint-Gilloise, and defeated Gençlerbirliği 3-2. Samsunspor, in a similar period, drew 1-1 with Alanyaspor, 2-2 with Breidablik, and 1-1 with Beşiktaş. In their head-to-head on April 11, 2025, Samsunspor lost to Galatasaray 0-2. Over the last five matches, Galatasaray has an average possession of 60.2%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Samsunspor holds the ball 53.2% of the time, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 18.2 fouls, and records 2.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, both teams have an average total of 2.4 goals per match. Galatasaray scores an average of 1.4, while Samsunspor nets 1.6, with goals conceded at 1 and 0.8 respectively. Both teams have exceeded the over 2.5 goals mark twice in their last five games, and under 2.5 goals three times. In the first half, Galatasaray has never exceeded over 1.5 goals, while Samsunspor has done so once out of five. In the second half, Galatasaray exceeded over 1.5 goals twice, and Samsunspor three times. Galatasaray most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%), while Samsunspor distributes its goals across three periods: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (each 25%). In terms of goals conceded, Galatasaray has three intervals with equal percentages (16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 at 29%), and Samsunspor has four intervals at 25%. Considering both teams' moderate scoring and frequent under 2.5 goals results (3 out of 5 for each), as well as low first-half activity, a bet on under 3.25 goals at 1.61 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Galatasaray earns 4 corners per match, while Samsunspor gets 6. In the last 5 encounters, Galatasaray only once exceeded the over 9.5 corners total, Samsunspor did so twice. The odds for the total corners are: over 9.5 at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.83. Galatasaray is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.38. Considering both teams' average stats and the infrequent occurrence of over 9.5 corners, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems reasonable, although both teams are capable of creating enough set-pieces to approach this mark.