Prediction for match Gamba Osaka — Shimizu S-pulse

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the J1 League on 28.02.2026, Gamba Osaka will face Shimizu S-pulse. The odds for a Gamba Osaka win are 1.95, a draw is 3.68, and a victory for Shimizu S-pulse is 3.54. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Gamba Osaka - 48.06%, draw - 25.47%, Shimizu S-pulse - 26.47%. Gamba Osaka is highlighted as the favorite, with a noticeable difference in percentages between the teams. The odds for over 2.5 total goals are 1.76, and for both teams to score is 1.63, indicating some expectation of scoring but not excessively. Options for individual totals and double chance are also available, but the main interest is in betting on a Gamba Osaka win.

Team Results and Statistics

Gamba Osaka, over the last five games, shows 64.4% possession, averages 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match. Shimizu S-pulse has 53.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Gamba Osaka: 22.02.2026 - Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka 1-2, 15.02.2026 - Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2-3, 07.02.2026 - Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 4-5. Shimizu S-pulse: 21.02.2026 - Shimizu S-pulse - Vissel Kobe 1-0, 14.02.2026 - Shimizu S-pulse - Kyoto Sanga 2-4, 08.02.2026 - Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-pulse 1-0. In their head-to-head on 15.06.2025, Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka played to a 0-0 draw.

Goals by Match Statistics

The average number of goals in Gamba Osaka's last five matches is 1.8, while Shimizu S-pulse averages 1.6. Gamba Osaka scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.6, whereas Shimizu S-pulse scores 0.6 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 total goals, Gamba Osaka had 2 out of 5, and Shimizu S-pulse had 1 out of 5. Gamba Osaka recorded over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, Shimizu S-pulse not once. In the second half, Gamba Osaka had over 1.5 goals once, Shimizu S-pulse twice. Gamba Osaka most frequently scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), Shimizu S-pulse scores 60% of their goals between 46-60 minutes. Both teams most often concede in the final minutes: 76-90 (67% each). Based on these data, betting on a Gamba Osaka win seems most logical, considering their better scoring and conceding stats and more stable attacking play.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Gamba Osaka averages 4.8 corners in their last five matches, Shimizu S-pulse 5.8. For over 9.5 corners, Gamba Osaka had 2 out of 5, Shimizu S-pulse 4 out of 5. The line closest to the sum of average values (10.6) is 10.5: odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.31, under 10.5 is 1.50. In corner outcomes, Gamba Osaka is favored with odds of 1.60. Considering the high average for corners and frequent over 9.5 totals for Shimizu S-pulse, betting on over 10.5 corners seems justified, but the main prediction is Gamba Osaka's victory.