Prediction for match Gaziantep — Kasimpasa

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig on February 9, Gaziantep will face Kasimpasa. The odds for a Gaziantep win are 2.07, a draw is at 3.52, and a Kasimpasa win is 3.80. In terms of probabilities: Gaziantep is given a 46.89% chance, a draw is at 27.57%, and Kasimpasa is at 25.54%. This setup indicates a slight advantage for Gaziantep, but there is no significant gap between the teams, and a draw is also considered quite likely. The goal total market suggests that bets on lower outcomes are more balanced, as confirmed by the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Gaziantep has earned 1 point: losing to Gençlerbirliği 1-2, drawing with Konyaspor 1-1 and Galatasaray 1-1. They also suffered defeats against Istanbul Başakşehir 1-5 and Göztepe 0-1. During the same period, Kasimpasa lost to Samsunspor 0-1, Trabzonspor 1-2, drew with Antalyaspor 0-0, lost to Galatasaray 0-3, and drew with Gençlerbirliği 0-0. On average, Gaziantep has 47.6% ball possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides over 5 matches. Kasimpasa averages 46.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Their last encounter was on August 30, 2025, ending in a 3-2 victory for Gaziantep.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Gaziantep has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Kasimpasa has 1.4. Gaziantep scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 2, with Kasimpasa scoring 0.2 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Gaziantep had only 1 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, and Kasimpasa had none. In the second half, Gaziantep played over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 times, Kasimpasa in 2 out of 5. Gaziantep most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (30%), and Kasimpasa also in the final minutes (76-90, 60%). Gaziantep is most vulnerable to conceding between the 61st and 75th minutes (60%), Kasimpasa between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (50% each). Despite Gaziantep's relatively high average totals, Kasimpasa's low scoring and frequent under 2.5 totals make a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.99 the optimal choice for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Gaziantep averages 5 corners per game, Kasimpasa 4.2. In the last 5 matches, Gaziantep had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Kasimpasa 2 times. The line on corner totals highlights over 9.5 at 1.81 and under 9.5 at 1.87. Gaziantep is the favorite for corner outcomes with odds at 1.82. Given both teams' average activity in corner kicks and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match. It is also worth noting that both teams are not prone to a high number of offsides: Gaziantep averages 1.2, and Kasimpasa 2.4 per game.