Prediction for match Genk — Anderlecht, 04.12.2025

Match Analysis: Genk vs Anderlecht

On December 4, Genk will face Anderlecht in the Belgian Cup. The odds for a Genk victory are 2.11, for Anderlecht's success 3.24, and for a draw 3.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Genk's chances are estimated at 44.36%, a draw at 26.75%, and Anderlecht at 28.89%. These figures suggest Genk is the favorite, but the gap with Anderlecht isn't significant, promising a tense match.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Genk has averaged 55.2% possession, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 10 fouls, and been caught offside 1.8 times per game. Anderlecht has averaged 49.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Genk defeated Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2-1 (30.11), beat Basel 2-1 (27.11), and lost to Mechelen 0-1 (23.11). During the same period, Anderlecht won against Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 (30.11), defeated RAAL La Louvière 1-0 (23.11), and beat Club Brugge 1-0 (09.11). In their head-to-head on September 14, Anderlecht and Genk drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Genk's recent five-game run shows an average of 3.2 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4. Anderlecht is more modest with an average of 1.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding only 0.4. For over 2.5 total goals, Genk has hit the mark in 3 out of 5 games, while Anderlecht only in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Genk recorded 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Anderlecht 1 out of 5. In the second half, Genk had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Anderlecht none. Genk scores most frequently between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Anderlecht scores 50% of their goals between 0-15 minutes. Genk concedes 38% of goals between 46-60 minutes, and Anderlecht 50% between 16-30 and 76-90 minutes. The statistics point to Genk's more prolific profile and Anderlecht's solid defense, but considering Genk's attacking potential and over 2.5 goals in three out of five games, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Genk averages 4.4 corners per match, Anderlecht 7. For over 9.5 corners: Genk 2 out of 5, Anderlecht 4 out of 5. The total closest to the average sum (11.4) is 11, with odds for over 11 corners at 2.35 and under 11 at 1.55. For corner outcomes, Genk is favored at 1.55. Given Anderlecht's high activity and Genk's decent numbers, expecting a double-digit corner count is logical, and betting on over 11 corners seems justified.