Prediction for match Genoa — Bologna, 25.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on January 25, Genoa will face Bologna. According to the 1X2 odds, Bologna is priced at 2.66, Genoa at 3.10, and a draw at 3.15. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 37.00% for a Bologna win, 31.75% for Genoa, and 31.25% for a draw. This setup indicates a slight advantage for Bologna, but Genoa is not far behind in the rankings. The line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for different betting approaches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Genoa averaged 1.2 goals per game, while Bologna averaged 1.4. The difference in corners is noticeable: Genoa has 1.8, Bologna 7.2. For yellow cards, Genoa has 1.4, Bologna 1.8, and for fouls - 13 compared to 10.8, offsides - 2 compared to 1.8. Genoa has 46.6% possession, Bologna 57.4%. In Genoa's last three matches: January 18 - Parma vs Genoa 0-0, January 12 - Genoa vs Cagliari 3-0, January 8 - Milan vs Genoa 1-1. Bologna's last three encounters: January 22 - Bologna vs Celtic 2-2, January 18 - Bologna vs Fiorentina 1-2, January 15 - Verona vs Bologna 2-3. In their head-to-head on September 20, 2025, Bologna vs Genoa ended 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Genoa's average total goals is 2.2, Bologna's is 3.2. Genoa scores 1.2 and concedes 1, Bologna 1.4 and 1.8 respectively. For over 2.5 goals: Genoa has 2 out of 5, Bologna 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Genoa 2 out of 5, Bologna 3 out of 5. In the second half for over 1.5 goals, both teams have 2 out of 5. For goal intervals: Genoa most often scores in the first 15 minutes (38%), while conceding late (76-90 minutes, 50%). Bologna most often scores from 61 to 90 minutes (33% in each of the two intervals), conceding from 31 to 45 minutes (40%). Overall, it is clear that both teams can create chances, but Genoa's defense looks more stable, while Bologna tends to have high-scoring finishes. Meanwhile, the under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.64, which seems optimal considering Genoa's average scoring and the not-so-high frequency of over 2.5 goals for both teams. In Genoa's last five matches, the total over 2.5 was only surpassed twice, while Bologna did it three times. Genoa's defense concedes an average of 1 goal per game, which also supports the idea of a low-scoring match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For the average number of corners over 5 matches, Genoa has 1.8, Bologna 7.2, totaling 9. In a series of five games, both teams recorded 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners. Among paired totals, the line closest to the average corners is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is 2.19, under 9.5 is 1.60. For the outcome on corners, Bologna is the favorite with odds of 1.65. Bologna regularly takes many corners, which could be a decisive factor in this component. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners or on Bologna's win on corners, given their consistency in this metric.