Prediction for match Genoa — Cagliari, 12.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A on January 12, Genoa will face Cagliari. The odds for a Genoa victory are set at 2.18, a draw at 3.12, and a Cagliari win at 4.24. The probability percentages are as follows: Genoa - 45.19%, draw - 31.58%, Cagliari - 23.23%. Genoa is favored according to the odds, but the gap with Cagliari isn't significant enough to suggest a clear advantage. Meanwhile, the draw is also rated quite highly, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

What Do Genoa and Cagliari's Recent Matches Show?

Looking at Genoa's last three matches, they drew 1-1 with Milan on January 8, also drew 1-1 with Pisa on January 3, and lost 1-3 to Roma on December 29. Cagliari, in their last three encounters, drew 2-2 with Cremonese on January 8, lost 0-1 to Milan on January 2, and defeated Torino 2-1 on December 27. On average, over the last five games, Genoa has 41% possession, commits 10.2 fouls, receives 1 yellow card, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Cagliari averages 49.4% possession, 13 fouls, 1.8 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides. In their head-to-head on November 22, 2025, the teams played to a 3-3 draw, indicating the potential for a high-scoring match between these opponents.

Goals According to Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Genoa has an average of 2.4 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Cagliari has a higher average total of 3.0, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. Genoa has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, while Cagliari has done so in 4 out of 5. Genoa recorded over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 games, Cagliari in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Genoa went over 1.5 goals only once in 5 games, while Cagliari did so in 3 out of 5. Genoa most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (33%), and concedes in the final stages - 76-90 minutes (43%). Cagliari scores most often in the first 30 minutes (29% in each of the two intervals) and concedes evenly across four segments between 31 and 90 minutes (25% each). Overall, the statistics indicate Cagliari's tendency for high-scoring matches, while Genoa prefers a more restrained style, though both teams are capable of creating chances. Against this backdrop, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.85 seems logical: Cagliari frequently exceeds the 2.5 goal mark, and Genoa regularly participates in matches with two goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Genoa averages 2.2 corners per match, while Cagliari averages 3.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Genoa has 2 out of 5, and Cagliari has 1 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the line closer to the sum of the averages (5.8) is over 7.5 at odds of 1.44, under 7.5 at 2.60. There is also a line for over 8 at 1.55 and under 8 at 2.36. Based on the average corner activity, betting on over 8 corners at 1.55 appears to be the most balanced option. In the corner outcome, Genoa is favored with odds of 1.60. Overall, both teams are not particularly active in winning corners, but Genoa more frequently gains the advantage in this aspect.