Prediction for match Genoa — Napoli

Match Odds and Probability Percentages

In Serie A, Genoa will face Napoli on February 7. According to the 1X2 odds, a Napoli win is priced at 2.00, a draw at 3.32, and a Genoa win at 4.66. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Genoa win - 21.13%, draw - 29.65%, Napoli win - 49.22%. Thus, Napoli is considered the favorite based on percentages and odds, though the gap with a draw is not the largest. This match is important for both teams in terms of league standings, and bookmakers expect a tight game without a clear bias towards one side.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Genoa has an average possession of 45.2%, with 2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Napoli averages 56% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In Genoa's last three matches: January 30 Lazio vs Genoa 3-2, January 25 Genoa vs Bologna 3-2, January 18 Parma vs Genoa 0-0. For Napoli: January 31 Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-1, January 28 Napoli vs Chelsea 2-3, January 25 Juventus vs Napoli 3-0. In their last head-to-head on October 5, 2025, Napoli defeated Genoa 2-1.

Goals Statistics

In the last 5 games, both teams had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 cases. Genoa averages 3 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Napoli averages 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. In the first half, Genoa had no matches with over 1.5 goals, while Napoli had 1 out of 5. In the second half, both teams show activity: Genoa 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Napoli also 4 out of 5. Genoa most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute range (50%) and concedes most often in the 61-75 range (33%). Napoli's goal distribution is more even: 20% in the 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 intervals. Conceded goals for Napoli are spread across five intervals, each at 20%. These data suggest a tendency for both teams to have productive endings and active second halves. Considering that over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for both teams, and the average goal stats are quite high, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.61 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Genoa averages 2.8 corners per game, Napoli 5.2. For over 9.5 corners, Genoa had 2 out of 5, Napoli 1 out of 5. The line highlights a total corners of 8.5, with two outcomes: over 8.5 at 1.76, under 8.5 at 1.95. Napoli is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 1.43. The combined average corner stats for both teams is 8, which is close to the chosen total, so a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that Napoli regularly outperforms Genoa in corner counts, as confirmed by the corner outcome odds.