Prediction for match Gimnasia — Estudiantes

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Argentine Professional League, Gimnasia will face Estudiantes on 15.02.2026. The odds for Estudiantes to win are 2.33, a draw is priced at 2.80, and a Gimnasia victory is at 3.56. The probabilities according to the data are: Gimnasia win - 26.32%, draw - 33.46%, Estudiantes win - 40.21%. Estudiantes has the advantage according to percentages and odds, but the gap isn't significant. The most likely outcome is considered to be an Estudiantes win, although a draw is also highly rated, reflected in both the odds and percentages. The betting line also includes markets for total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Gimnasia has been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses. In their last three games: 09.02.2026 Barracas Central - Gimnasia 2-0, 02.02.2026 Gimnasia - Aldosivi 3-1, 28.01.2026 River Plate - Gimnasia 2-0. Estudiantes has shown stability in their last three matches: 09.02.2026 Estudiantes - Deportivo Riestra 1-0, 02.02.2026 Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes 0-0, 29.01.2026 Estudiantes - Boca Juniors 2-1. In their head-to-head on 08.12.2025, Gimnasia lost to Estudiantes 0-1. Over the last five matches, Gimnasia averaged 45.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Estudiantes averaged 49.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. These stats show moderate aggression from both teams, with Estudiantes having a slight edge in ball control and discipline.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Gimnasia vs Estudiantes Match

In terms of scoring, both teams have been playing conservatively in their last five matches. Gimnasia averages 1 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded, with a total match goal average of 2.4. Estudiantes has a similar scoring average of 1 but concedes less - 0.6, with a total match goal average of 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Gimnasia has hit the mark 2 out of 5 times, while Estudiantes only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once in 5 games for both teams, in the second half, Gimnasia hit it 2 out of 5 times, Estudiantes 1 out of 5. Gimnasia tends to score most frequently in the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (22% each), while Estudiantes scores in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each). Gimnasia is most vulnerable in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Estudiantes is most vulnerable at the end of the match (76-90 minutes, 67%). Considering Estudiantes' low scoring, Gimnasia's moderate numbers, and frequent unders on the 2.5 total, a bet on under 2.25 goals with odds of 1.65 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, Gimnasia averages 3.8 per match, Estudiantes 4.2. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 didn't happen for Gimnasia, while it occurred 3 times out of 5 for Estudiantes. Considering the closest average total, for 8.0-8.5 corners, there are a couple of outcomes: total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.59, under 8.5 at 2.13. Estudiantes is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.03. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency for Estudiantes, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. Another option is to bet on Estudiantes to win on corners, considering their stability in recent matches.