Prediction for match Girona — Athletic Club

Match Analysis: Girona vs Athletic Club

In the Spanish La Liga, Girona will face Athletic Club on March 14. The 1X2 odds are quite close: Girona's win is at 2.82, Athletic Club's success is at 2.70, and a draw is at 3.46. In terms of probability: Girona is rated at 34.97%, a draw at 28.50%, and Athletic Club at 36.53%. Bookmakers give a slight edge to Athletic Club, but the gap is minimal, and both teams are seen as having almost equal chances of winning. For total goals, over 2.5 is at 2.10, under 2.5 is at 1.86. The odds for both teams to score: yes - 1.76, no - 1.97. Thus, bookmakers predict moderate scoring and do not rule out both teams finding the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Girona held an average possession of 51.4%, received 2 yellow cards per game, committed 9.6 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides. Athletic Club's stats: 44.6% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Girona's last three matches were: March 7, 2026 - Levante vs Girona - 1-1, March 1, 2026 - Girona vs Celta - 1-2, February 23, 2026 - Alaves vs Girona - 2-2. Athletic Club's recent matches: March 7, 2026 - Athletic Club vs Barcelona - 0-1, March 4, 2026 - Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club - 1-0, February 28, 2026 - Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club - 1-1. The last head-to-head between these teams was on September 23, 2025, ending Athletic Club 1-1 Girona.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Girona has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4. Athletic Club's figures are lower: 2 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 1. For over 2.5 goals: Girona had 3 out of 5, Athletic Club had 2 out of 5. By halves, Girona had only 1 of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, but all 5 of 5 over 1.5 in the second half, indicating high post-break activity. Athletic Club had no first-half over 1.5, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. For goal intervals: Girona often scores between 76-90 minutes (43%), Athletic Club also between 76-90 (40%). For goals conceded: Girona spreads them between 31-90 minutes, Athletic Club concedes 60% between 61-75 minutes. Considering Girona's consistent late-game scoring and Athletic Club's second-half instability, betting on over 2.0 total goals at 1.50 seems justified: Girona shows goal stability, while Athletic Club's second-half inconsistency could lead to at least two goals in the match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Girona averages 5.8 corners over the last 5 matches, Athletic Club - 4.2. For over 9.5 total corners: Girona had 4 out of 5, Athletic Club had 1 out of 5. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.93, under 9.5 is at 1.78. Girona is favored on corner outcomes with odds of 2.13. Given Girona often wins many corners and their matches see high totals, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 total corners or Girona's edge in this metric.