Prediction for match Girona — Mallorca

Match Analysis: Girona vs Mallorca

In La Liga on May 1st, Girona will face Mallorca. The odds for the match are as follows: Girona to win at 2.10, a draw at 3.60, and a win for Mallorca at 3.81. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 46.85% for a Girona win, 27.33% for a draw, and 25.82% for a Mallorca victory. Girona stands out as the favorite, but Mallorca also has its chances, as confirmed by both the odds and the percentage distribution. The match promises to be interesting in terms of the battle for points, considering the relatively small gap in probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Girona recorded the following results: On April 25, they lost to Valencia 1-2, on April 21, they were defeated by Real Betis 2-3, on April 10, they drew with Real Madrid 1-1, on April 6, they beat Villarreal 1-0, and on March 21, they lost to Osasuna 0-1. During the same period, Mallorca's results were as follows: On April 25, they lost to Alaves 1-2, on April 21, they drew with Valencia 1-1, on April 12, they convincingly defeated Rayo Vallecano 3-0, on April 4, they won against Real Madrid 2-1, and on March 21, they lost to Elche 1-2. In their head-to-head meeting on January 4, Mallorca lost to Girona 1-2. Additional metrics over five matches show that Girona averaged 53.2% possession, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 9.4 fouls, and had 2 offsides per game. Mallorca had 48.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. These figures indicate that Girona often controls the ball more, while Mallorca plays more aggressively and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Girona has an average total of 2.4 goals over their last five matches, while Mallorca has 2.8. Girona scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.4, while Mallorca scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Girona has 2 out of 5, while Mallorca has 4 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams have only 1 out of 5, but in the second half, Girona has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Mallorca has 4 out of 5. This suggests that both teams tend to be more active and productive in the second half. In terms of goal intervals: Girona most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (43%), while Mallorca scores between the 61st and 75th minute (40%). Girona most often concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (60%), and Mallorca between the 76th and 90th minute (40%). Overall, both teams are inclined towards scoring, especially in the second half, and have decent figures for goals scored and conceded. On this basis, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems logical, considering Mallorca's frequency and Girona's decent figures.

Corner Totals Analysis

Girona averages 3.2 corners per match, while Mallorca averages 5. For over 9.5 corners: Girona has 2 out of 5, while Mallorca has 4 out of 5. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5, over 9.5 is at 1.74, and under 9.5 is at 1.98. Girona is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.41. Considering that both teams together average 8.2 corners per game, and Mallorca often reaches higher numbers, it seems logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. Moreover, Mallorca consistently achieves more than 5 corners, which could influence the dynamics of this metric.