Prediction for match Valencia — Atletico Madrid

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On May 2, a La Liga match between Valencia and Atletico Madrid will take place in Spain. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Valencia is priced at 1.84, a draw is at 4.00, and a win for Atletico Madrid is at 4.51. In terms of probability percentages, Valencia has a 53.53% chance, a draw is at 24.63%, and Atletico Madrid is at 21.84%. The latest odds for totals are: over 2.5 goals at 1.88, under 2.5 goals at 2.07. Both teams to score: yes at 1.72, no at 2.02. Individual totals are also available: Valencia over 1.5 goals at 1.79, Atletico Madrid over 1 goal at 2.02. These figures suggest that Valencia is the favorite, but Atletico Madrid has the potential to surprise, especially given their attacking profile in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Valencia's last three matches were as follows: April 25, 2026 - Valencia vs Girona - 2-1, April 21, 2026 - Mallorca vs Valencia - 1-1, April 11, 2026 - Elche vs Valencia - 1-0. Atletico Madrid played their last three games as follows: April 29, 2026 - Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal - 1-1, April 25, 2026 - Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - 3-2, April 22, 2026 - Elche vs Atletico Madrid - 3-2. In a five-match series, Valencia averages 40.4% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides per game. Atletico Madrid holds the ball 45.2% of the time, receives 1 yellow card, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times. In their last head-to-head meeting on December 13, 2025, Atletico Madrid defeated Valencia 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Valencia has an average total of 2.6 goals over their last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Atletico Madrid has even more prolific stats: 3.8 goals on average, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2. For over 2.5 goals: Valencia hit in 2 out of 5, Atletico Madrid in 4 out of 5. By halves, Valencia has 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Atletico Madrid has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second. Valencia often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Atletico Madrid also scores frequently during this period (30%). Valencia concedes equally in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (29% each). Atletico Madrid tends to concede in the first 15 minutes (33%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, also 33%). Given Atletico Madrid's high average totals and frequent over 2.5, a high-scoring match is logical to expect, especially considering both teams tend to have active periods after the break.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Valencia averages 5 corners per game, while Atletico Madrid averages 3.8. In a series of five matches, both teams have 2 instances of over 9.5 corners. The odds for corner totals are: over 9.5 at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. For corner outcomes, Valencia is the favorite at 1.88. Valencia tends to earn more corners, while Atletico Madrid lags in this regard. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams' average figures and the frequency of overs in recent matches.