Prediction for match Gornik Zabrze — Pogon Szczecin

Match Analysis: Gornik Zabrze vs Pogon Szczecin

In the Ekstraklasa on 21.02.2026, Gornik Zabrze will face Pogon Szczecin. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Gornik Zabrze win at 2.00, draw at 3.52, and Pogon Szczecin win at 3.46. According to probability percentages, Gornik Zabrze has a 46.59% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 26.47%, and Pogon Szczecin at 26.93%. Thus, Gornik Zabrze stands out as the more likely winner, but the difference in chances with Pogon Szczecin is not too large. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, allowing for predictions based on recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Gornik Zabrze played as follows: 16.02.2026 - Nieciecza vs Gornik Zabrze - 1-1, 07.02.2026 - Gornik Zabrze vs Lech Poznan - 0-1, 31.01.2026 - Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice - 2-1. During the same period, Pogon Szczecin played: 15.02.2026 - Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia - 1-0, 08.02.2026 - Pogon Szczecin vs Nieciecza - 1-1, 01.02.2026 - Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin - 2-1. On average over the last five games, Gornik Zabrze had 56.6% possession, received 1 yellow card, committed 9 fouls, and was caught offside 1.2 times. Pogon Szczecin had 58.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In the last head-to-head on 17.08.2025, Pogon Szczecin lost to Gornik Zabrze 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Gornik Zabrze shows an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 2.4 per game. Pogon Szczecin has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Gornik Zabrze has 3 out of 5 matches, Pogon Szczecin has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Gornik Zabrze recorded over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, Pogon Szczecin in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Gornik Zabrze has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Pogon Szczecin 1 out of 5. In terms of time intervals, Gornik Zabrze most often scores between 31-45 minutes (33%) and concedes in the same interval 60%. Pogon Szczecin's most frequent goals are also in the 31-45 minute interval (50%), while conceded goals are at the end (76-90, 40%). Considering the average scoring of both teams, the over 2.5 goals trend, and first-half activity, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.69.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Gornik Zabrze averages 5 corners per match, Pogon Szczecin 7.4. In the last 5 games, Gornik Zabrze recorded over 9.5 corners only once, Pogon Szczecin 4 times. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.4) is 11.5: total corners over 11.5 at 2.40, under 11.5 at 1.50. For the outcome on corners, Gornik Zabrze is the favorite with odds of 1.64. Statistically, Pogon Szczecin tends to deliver more corners, but Gornik Zabrze shows stability in this indicator. A bet on total corners over 11.5 looks risky, but it's logical to consider an individual total for Pogon Szczecin corners if a suitable odds appears.